Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sunrise vs Marines

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Mukoghotya R.
65' Event
Usabimana O.
75' Event
Ssali B.

AI Match Summary

Sunrise in this Premier League 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sunrise.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Sunrise
30%
Draws
33%
Marines
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sunrise

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Marines have won more games recently than Sunrise.
  • Sunrise are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Premier League 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Sunrise Clean Sheet 20%
Marines Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sunrise Marines
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 8 11
Draws 7 10
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 0.83 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 0.98 0.98
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2024 Premier League
Sunrise vs Marines
3:1
Dec 12, 2023 Premier League
Marines vs Sunrise
1:1
Feb 11, 2023 Premier League
Sunrise vs Marines
1:2
Dec 16, 2022 Premier League
Marines vs Sunrise
2:2
May 13, 2021 Premier League
Marines vs Sunrise
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sunrise Compare

Top Goalscorer Mukoghotya R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ssali B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.49

Marines Compare

Top Goalscorer Usabimana O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.89
Avg xA / game 0.54

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sunrise 49 / 100
Marines 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sunrise Marines

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sunrise Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Marines conceded in 82% of 34 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Sunrise has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Sunrise scored in 48% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sunrise VS Marines
0.33 Goals Scored 1.63
0.33 Goals Conceded 1.63
33% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sunrise

(Home)
17 Sept
Rayon Sport
1 : 1
Sunrise
05 Sept
Etincelles
0 : 0
Sunrise
11 May
Sunrise
3 : 1
Marines
04 May
Amagaju
1 : 0
Sunrise
28 Apr
Sunrise
2 : 1
Gorilla
Page 1 of 6

Marines

(Away)
16 Sept
APR
4 : 2
Marines
06 Sept
Marines
2 : 0
Kigali FC
30 May
Marines
3 : 2
Muhanga
24 May
Marines
1 : 1
Musanze
16 May
Marines
2 : 3
Etincelles
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 APR 30 19 11 0 47:17 68
2 Rayon Sport 30 17 6 7 42:25 57
3 Musanze 30 16 5 9 34:24 53
4 Mukura Victory Sports 30 13 8 9 39:32 47
5 Kigali FC 30 12 9 9 26:25 45
6 Kiyovu 30 11 11 8 38:34 44
7 Police 30 12 3 15 35:34 39
8 Amagaju 30 10 9 11 30:31 39
9 Gasogi United 30 10 6 14 31:34 36
10 Gorilla 30 9 8 13 26:33 35
11 Marines 30 9 8 13 32:42 35
12 Muhazi United 30 7 12 11 21:29 33
13 Bugesera 30 7 11 12 37:35 32
14 Etincelles 30 8 8 14 35:44 32
15 Sunrise 30 9 5 16 25:40 32
16 Etoile de L'Est 30 9 4 17 20:39 31
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2024/2025 (Qualification)