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Sunrise vs Musanze

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League 2023/2024
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AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2023/2024 game between Sunrise and Musanze finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Sunrise
30%
Draws
33%
Musanze
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sunrise

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Musanze come out ahead of Sunrise on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Sunrise's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Premier League 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 54%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Sunrise Clean Sheet 68%
Musanze Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sunrise Musanze
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 7 8
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 0.83 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 0.48
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2024 Premier League
Sunrise vs Musanze
0:0
Sep 2, 2023 Premier League
Musanze vs Sunrise
2:1
Apr 30, 2023 Premier League
Sunrise vs Musanze
3:1
Oct 23, 2022 Premier League
Musanze vs Sunrise
1:0
Jun 25, 2021 Premier League
Sunrise vs Musanze
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sunrise 50 / 100
Musanze 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sunrise Musanze

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sunrise Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Musanze's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Sunrise has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Sunrise's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sunrise VS Musanze
0.33 Goals Scored 0.63
0.33 Goals Conceded 1.38
33% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sunrise

(Home)
17 Sept
Rayon Sport
1 : 1
Sunrise
05 Sept
Etincelles
0 : 0
Sunrise
11 May
Sunrise
3 : 1
Marines
04 May
Amagaju
1 : 0
Sunrise
28 Apr
Sunrise
2 : 1
Gorilla
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Musanze

(Away)
15 Sept
Etincelles
1 : 0
Musanze
11 Sept
Musanze
1 : 0
Kiyovu
30 May
Kigali FC
2 : 1
Musanze
24 May
Marines
1 : 1
Musanze
17 May
Musanze
3 : 2
Gasogi United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 APR 30 19 11 0 47:17 68
2 Rayon Sport 30 17 6 7 42:25 57
3 Musanze 30 16 5 9 34:24 53
4 Mukura Victory Sports 30 13 8 9 39:32 47
5 Kigali FC 30 12 9 9 26:25 45
6 Kiyovu 30 11 11 8 38:34 44
7 Police 30 12 3 15 35:34 39
8 Amagaju 30 10 9 11 30:31 39
9 Gasogi United 30 10 6 14 31:34 36
10 Gorilla 30 9 8 13 26:33 35
11 Marines 30 9 8 13 32:42 35
12 Muhazi United 30 7 12 11 21:29 33
13 Bugesera 30 7 11 12 37:35 32
14 Etincelles 30 8 8 14 35:44 32
15 Sunrise 30 9 5 16 25:40 32
16 Etoile de L'Est 30 9 4 17 20:39 31
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2024/2025 (Qualification)