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Sunrise vs Rayon Sport - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Tuyisenge P.
43' Event
Tuyisenge P.

AI Match Summary

Rayon Sport in this Premier League 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rayon Sport.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Sunrise
35%
Draws
28%
Rayon Sport
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sunrise

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rayon Sport lately — more wins on the board than Sunrise.
  • Win probability leans Sunrise's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Premier League 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Rayon Sport here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Sunrise Clean Sheet 68%
Rayon Sport Clean Sheet 23%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sunrise Rayon Sport
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 7 14
Draws 7 15
Losses 14 3
Goals Scored 0.82 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.32 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.44 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2026 Premier League
Rayon Sport vs Sunrise
1:1
Mar 3, 2024 Premier League
Sunrise vs Rayon Sport
0:2
Oct 21, 2023 Premier League
Rayon Sport vs Sunrise
3:0
May 28, 2023 Premier League
Sunrise vs Rayon Sport
0:1
Nov 4, 2022 Premier League
Rayon Sport vs Sunrise
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sunrise Compare

Avg xG / game 0.34
Avg xA / game 0.22

Rayon Sport Compare

Top Goalscorer Tuyisenge P.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sunrise 50 / 100
Rayon Sport 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sunrise Rayon Sport

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sunrise Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Sunrise has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Sunrise scored in 46% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Rayon Sport conceded in 47% of 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sunrise VS Rayon Sport
0.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
25% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sunrise

(Home)
17 Sept
Rayon Sport
1 : 1
Sunrise
05 Sept
Etincelles
0 : 0
Sunrise
11 May
Sunrise
3 : 1
Marines
04 May
Amagaju
1 : 0
Sunrise
28 Apr
Sunrise
2 : 1
Gorilla
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Rayon Sport

(Away)
17 Sept
Rayon Sport
1 : 1
Sunrise
12 Sept
Rayon Sport
0 : 0
Panthere
04 Sept
Panthere
1 : 1
Rayon Sport
27 Aug
Rayon Sport
0 : 1
Police
07 Aug
Rayon Sport
2 : 1
Mahia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 APR 30 19 11 0 47:17 68
2 Rayon Sport 30 17 6 7 42:25 57
3 Musanze 30 16 5 9 34:24 53
4 Mukura Victory Sports 30 13 8 9 39:32 47
5 Kigali FC 30 12 9 9 26:25 45
6 Kiyovu 30 11 11 8 38:34 44
7 Police 30 12 3 15 35:34 39
8 Amagaju 30 10 9 11 30:31 39
9 Gasogi United 30 10 6 14 31:34 36
10 Gorilla 30 9 8 13 26:33 35
11 Marines 30 9 8 13 32:42 35
12 Muhazi United 30 7 12 11 21:29 33
13 Bugesera 30 7 11 12 37:35 32
14 Etincelles 30 8 8 14 35:44 32
15 Sunrise 30 9 5 16 25:40 32
16 Etoile de L'Est 30 9 4 17 20:39 31
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2024/2025 (Qualification)