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Sunshine Coast vs Mitchelton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sunshine Coast in this Queensland Premier League 2021 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sunshine Coast.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Sunshine Coast
15%
Draws
46%
Mitchelton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mitchelton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sunshine Coast lately — more wins on the board than Mitchelton.
  • Model gives Sunshine Coast a 39% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sunshine Coast have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Sunshine Coast Clean Sheet 19%
Mitchelton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sunshine Coast Mitchelton
Matches Played 33 35
Wins 11 6
Draws 3 4
Losses 19 25
Goals Scored 1.24 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.79 3.29
Expected Goals (xG) 2.60 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 25, 2023 Queensland Premier League
Sunshine Coast vs Mitchelton
3:0
Mar 18, 2023 Queensland Premier League
Mitchelton vs Sunshine Coast
1:1
Jul 31, 2022 Queensland Premier League
Mitchelton vs Sunshine Coast
0:1
May 1, 2022 Queensland Premier League
Sunshine Coast vs Mitchelton
2:1
Jul 25, 2021 Queensland Premier League
Sunshine Coast vs Mitchelton
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sunshine Coast 49 / 100
Mitchelton 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sunshine Coast Mitchelton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sunshine Coast Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mitchelton conceded in 94% of 35 recent games.

Sunshine Coast found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (33 games).

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Sunshine Coast stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mitchelton
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 4
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Sunshine Coast

(Home)
03 Sept
Southside Eagles
2 : 1
Sunshine Coast
26 Aug
Sunshine Coast
0 : 1
Wynnum Wolves
13 Aug
SWQ Thunder
0 : 1
Sunshine Coast
30 Jul
Sunshine Coast
2 : 4
Brisbane Strikers
22 Jul
Albany Creek
0 : 2
Sunshine Coast
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Mitchelton

(Away)
18 Aug
Mitchelton
5 : 3
Logan Lightning
10 Aug
Southside Eagles
4 : 1
Mitchelton
02 Aug
Moreton City Excelsior U21
0 : 3
Mitchelton
21 Jul
Mitchelton
0 : 0
Ipswich
13 Jul
Brisbane Strikers
1 : 0
Mitchelton
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brisbane City 20 20 0 0 64:12 60
2 Rochedale 20 14 1 5 57:26 43
3 SWQ Thunder 20 13 2 5 47:32 41
4 Western Pride 20 10 2 8 36:33 32
5 Ipswich Knights 20 9 3 8 41:35 30
6 Mitchelton 20 9 1 10 41:43 28
7 Southside Eagles 20 6 6 8 30:33 24
8 Sunshine Coast 20 6 5 9 33:40 23
9 Souths 20 5 0 15 28:54 15
10 Holland Park Hawks 20 3 3 14 29:54 12
11 Wynnum Wolves 20 3 1 16 18:62 10
Promotion - Queensland Premier League 2021 (Play Offs)