Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Ipswich

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League Ballinger Park, Buderim
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Latinovic D.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
20%
Draws
23%
Ipswich
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sunshine Coast Wanderers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Sunshine Coast Wanderers at 1.8 per game, Ipswich at 1.37.
  • Sunshine Coast Wanderers are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Sunshine Coast Wanderers, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Sunshine Coast Wanderers Clean Sheet 20%
Ipswich Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sunshine Coast Wanderers Ipswich
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.8 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Ipswich
1:0
Aug 1, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Ipswich
0:0
Apr 25, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Ipswich vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sunshine Coast Wanderers Compare

Top Goalscorer Latinovic D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Ipswich Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sunshine Coast Wanderers 85 / 100
Ipswich 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sunshine Coast Wanderers Ipswich

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sunshine Coast Wanderers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sunshine Coast Wanderers's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Ipswich let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Sunshine Coast Wanderers remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Ipswich registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sunshine Coast Wanderers VS Ipswich
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sunshine Coast Wanderers

(Home)
05 Sept
Broadbeach Utd.
2 : 0
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
30 Aug
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
1 : 0
Ipswich
15 Aug
St. George Willawong
1 : 6
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
09 Aug
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
2 : 1
Broadbeach Utd.
01 Aug
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
0 : 0
Ipswich
Page 1 of 6

Ipswich

(Away)
30 Aug
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
1 : 0
Ipswich
15 Aug
Broadbeach Utd.
1 : 0
Ipswich
09 Aug
Ipswich
3 : 0
Capalaba FC
01 Aug
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
0 : 0
Ipswich
22 Jul
Ipswich
0 : 5
Brisbane Roar
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Brisbane Strikers 1
Broadbeach Utd. 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sunshine Coast Wanderers 1
Ipswich 0
Semi-finals
Brisbane Strikers -
TBD -
Broadbeach Utd. 2
Sunshine Coast Wanderers 0
Final
Brisbane Strikers 2
Broadbeach Utd. 1