Sport Picks
Sunshine Stars vs Heartland FC
Nigeria
NNL Akure Township Stadium, Akure 
AI Match Summary
The NNL game between Sunshine Stars and Heartland FC finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sunshine Stars.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Heartland FC come out ahead of Sunshine Stars on wins alone.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Sunshine Stars taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Sunshine Stars Clean Sheet 20%
Heartland FC Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sunshine Stars | Heartland FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 14, 2026 NNL
Heartland FC vs Sunshine Stars
1:0
Dec 10, 2025 NNL
Sunshine Stars vs Heartland FC
3:1
Mar 26, 2025 NPFL
Sunshine Stars vs Heartland FC
0:0
Nov 10, 2024 NPFL
Heartland FC vs Sunshine Stars
1:0
Mar 3, 2024 NPFL
Heartland FC vs Sunshine Stars
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sunshine Stars 36 / 100
Heartland FC 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sunshine Stars Heartland FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sunshine Stars scored in 60% of their last 30 games.
Heartland FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Sunshine Stars remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Sunshine Stars VS Heartland FC
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Sunshine Stars
(Home) 11 Apr
Sunshine Stars
2 : 1 Edel FC
04 Apr
Gateway United
1 : 2 Sunshine Stars
28 Mar
Sunshine Stars
0 : 0 Inter Lagos
25 Mar
Sunshine Stars
2 : 0 Smart City
14 Mar
Heartland FC
1 : 0 Sunshine Stars
Page 1 of 6
11 Apr
Sunshine Stars
2 : 1 Edel FC
28 Mar
Sunshine Stars
0 : 0 Inter Lagos
25 Mar
Sunshine Stars
2 : 0 Smart City
21 Feb
Sunshine Stars
1 : 1 Beyond Limits FC
10 Jan
Sunshine Stars
1 : 0 Crown FC
Page 1 of 3
Heartland FC
(Away) 11 Apr
Heartland FC
1 : 0 Crown FC
04 Apr
Edel FC
0 : 0 Heartland FC
01 Apr
Inter Lagos
2 : 1 Heartland FC
28 Mar
Heartland FC
3 : 0 Gateway United
14 Mar
Heartland FC
1 : 0 Sunshine Stars
Page 1 of 6
04 Apr
Edel FC
0 : 0 Heartland FC
01 Apr
Inter Lagos
2 : 1 Heartland FC
14 Feb
Beyond Limits FC
1 : 0 Heartland FC
15 Jan
Smart City
2 : 1 Heartland FC
03 Jan
Abia Comets
1 : 3 Heartland FC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Lagos | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 26:13 | 29 |
| 2 | Beyond Limits FC | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23:13 | 28 |
| 3 | Heartland FC | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 21:17 | 27 |
| 4 | Smart City | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 21:19 | 27 |
| 5 | Sunshine Stars | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 18:14 | 25 |
| 6 | Edel FC | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 14:20 | 20 |
| 7 | Crown FC | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18:19 | 16 |
| 8 | Abia Comets | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16:31 | 15 |
| 9 | Gateway United | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13:24 | 12 |
Promotion - NPFL (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Lagos | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 31:14 | 36 |
| 2 | Akwa United | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 23:13 | 35 |
| 3 | Ekiti United | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 21:17 | 30 |
| 4 | Stormers | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 24:26 | 26 |
| 5 | Abakaliki | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 19:17 | 25 |
| 6 | Solution | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 18:22 | 25 |
| 7 | Godswill Akpabio | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 27:24 | 24 |
| 8 | Rovers FC | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 15:21 | 22 |
| 9 | Osun United | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 16:24 | 20 |
| 10 | First Bank | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 15:31 | 15 |
Promotion - NPFL (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Doma United | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 18:11 | 26 |
| 2 | Lobi | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 12:10 | 23 |
| 3 | Basira | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17:14 | 21 |
| 4 | Kada Warriors | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 11:9 | 20 |
| 5 | Sokoto United | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 9:11 | 18 |
| 6 | ABS | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 10:16 | 17 |
| 7 | Mighty Jets | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 14:16 | 16 |
| 8 | City FC Abuja | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 10:14 | 16 |
Promotion - NPFL (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ranchers Bees | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 11:9 | 20 |
| 2 | Adamawa Utd | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 12:11 | 18 |
| 3 | Jigawa Golden Stars | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12:15 | 18 |
| 4 | Yobe Stars | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14:13 | 17 |
| 5 | Kebbi | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 11:11 | 16 |
| 6 | Bichi First | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 7 | Gombe | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 8:11 | 15 |
| 8 | Sporting Supreme | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - NPFL (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)
