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Super Nova 2 vs JFK Ventspils

Latvia Latvia

Nakotnes liga Sporta centrs Krasts
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Grikovs A.
50' Event
Bombans G.
55' Event
Bombans G.

AI Match Summary

Super Nova 2 in this Nakotnes liga matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Super Nova 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Super Nova 2
20%
Draws
38%
JFK Ventspils
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Super Nova 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to JFK Ventspils lately — more wins on the board than Super Nova 2.
  • Win probability leans Super Nova 2's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Nakotnes liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Super Nova 2 Clean Sheet 17%
JFK Ventspils Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Super Nova 2 JFK Ventspils
Matches Played 12 30
Wins 5 8
Draws 4 9
Losses 3 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Nakotnes liga
Super Nova 2 vs JFK Ventspils
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Super Nova 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bombans G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Grikovs A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

JFK Ventspils Compare

Top Goalscorer Kosovs K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Super Nova 2 41 / 100
JFK Ventspils 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Super Nova 2 JFK Ventspils

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Super Nova 2 scored in 83% of their last 12 games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: JFK Ventspils conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Super Nova 2 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Super Nova 2 VS JFK Ventspils
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FK Metta12101142:1131
2Valmiera1292132:1229
3Riga Mariners1284025:1028
4Leevon PPK1273220:1524
5Alberts JDFS1262425:2020
6Marupe1261522:1519
7Super Nova 21254319:1719
8Riga FC 21251619:2216
9Skanste1241720:2413
10JFK Ventspils1224615:2010
11RFS 21223715:269
12Tukums 2000 21222816:318
13Rezekne1212910:365
14FK Smiltene1204812:334