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Super Nova 2 vs Rezekne

Latvia Latvia

Nakotnes liga Sporta centrs Krasts
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Maksimovs K.

AI Match Summary

Super Nova 2 in this Nakotnes liga matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Super Nova 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Super Nova 2
17%
Draws
13%
Rezekne
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Super Nova 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Rezekne have won more games recently than Super Nova 2.
  • Win probability leans Super Nova 2's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Super Nova 2 Clean Sheet 68%
Rezekne Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Super Nova 2 Rezekne
Matches Played 12 29
Wins 5 6
Draws 4 6
Losses 3 17
Goals Scored 1.5 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Nakotnes liga
Super Nova 2 vs Rezekne
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Super Nova 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Maksimovs K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Rezekne Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Super Nova 2 77 / 100
Rezekne 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Super Nova 2 Rezekne

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SUP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Super Nova 2 found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (12 games).

Defensive concern: Rezekne conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Super Nova 2 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Rezekne has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Super Nova 2 VS Rezekne
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FK Metta12101142:1131
2Valmiera1292132:1229
3Riga Mariners1284025:1028
4Leevon PPK1273220:1524
5Alberts JDFS1262425:2020
6Marupe1261522:1519
7Super Nova 21254319:1719
8Riga FC 21251619:2216
9Skanste1241720:2413
10JFK Ventspils1224615:2010
11RFS 21223715:269
12Tukums 2000 21222816:318
13Rezekne1212910:365
14FK Smiltene1204812:334