Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Super Nova 2 vs Riga Mariners

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga Sporta centrs Krasts, Riga
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Bokans E.
Assist: Owusu R.
59' Event
Grazis A.
85' Event
Bekeris H.
Assist: Poluhovics A.

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga game between Super Nova 2 and Riga Mariners finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Riga Mariners.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Super Nova 2
20%
Draws
56%
Riga Mariners
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Riga Mariners

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Super Nova 2 haven't matched Riga Mariners's recent run of results.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on Riga Mariners taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Super Nova 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Riga Mariners Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Super Nova 2 Riga Mariners
Matches Played 20 34
Wins 6 22
Draws 7 7
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1.4 2.65
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 1. Liga
Super Nova 2 vs Riga Mariners
0:3
Apr 4, 2026 1. Liga
Riga Mariners vs Super Nova 2
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Super Nova 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Riga Mariners Compare

Top Goalscorer Bokans E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Grazis A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Super Nova 2 14 / 100
Riga Mariners 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Super Nova 2 Riga Mariners

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Riga Mariners Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Super Nova 2 scored in 85% of their last 20 games.

Riga Mariners's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 34 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Super Nova 2 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Super Nova 2 VS Riga Mariners
1 Goals Scored 2.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Super Nova 2

(Home)
11 Sept
Rezekne
2 : 2
Super Nova 2
29 Aug
Leevon PPK
2 : 1
Super Nova 2
23 Aug
Super Nova 2
1 : 1
Skanste
15 Aug
Marupe
2 : 1
Super Nova 2
08 Aug
JFK Ventspils
0 : 2
Super Nova 2
Page 1 of 4

Riga Mariners

(Away)
12 Sept
FK Smiltene
4 : 1
Riga Mariners
05 Sept
Riga Mariners
5 : 0
Rezekne
29 Aug
Riga Mariners
3 : 1
RFS 2
24 Aug
Riga FC 2
1 : 3
Riga Mariners
09 Aug
Riga Mariners
4 : 2
Tukums 2000 2
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valmiera 20 16 3 1 58:19 51
2 FK Metta 20 16 3 1 86:16 51
3 Leevon PPK 20 14 4 2 37:22 46
4 Riga Mariners 20 13 5 2 46:21 44
5 Alberts JDFS 20 11 4 5 41:28 37
6 Marupe 20 9 1 10 34:32 28
7 Skanste 20 8 2 10 43:41 26
8 Riga FC 2 20 7 4 9 29:37 25
9 Super Nova 2 20 6 7 7 28:30 25
10 RFS 2 20 4 3 13 31:56 15
11 FK Smiltene 20 3 4 13 27:57 13
12 JFK Ventspils 19 2 6 11 20:40 12
13 Tukums 2000 2 19 3 3 13 23:59 12
14 Rezekne 20 1 3 16 16:61 6
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