Sport Picks
Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Latvia
Virsliga Jana Skredela stadions, Riga 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Samate A. In: Glaudans A.
Out: Samate A.
54'
54'
Barkovskis N.
56'
56'
Emsis E.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Virsliga matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Super Nova
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Super Nova haven't matched BFC Daugavpils's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Virsliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Super Nova Clean Sheet 20%
BFC Daugavpils Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Super Nova | BFC Daugavpils |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 15 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.36 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 Virsliga
Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils
0:0
Jun 16, 2026 Virsliga
BFC Daugavpils vs Super Nova
0:0
Apr 27, 2026 Virsliga
BFC Daugavpils vs Super Nova
0:1
Oct 25, 2025 Virsliga
BFC Daugavpils vs Super Nova
2:2
Aug 2, 2025 Virsliga
Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Super Nova 31 / 100
BFC Daugavpils 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Super Nova BFC Daugavpils
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Super Nova Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Super Nova found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).
Defensive concern: BFC Daugavpils conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
Recent resilience: Super Nova stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Super Nova VS BFC Daugavpils
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
25% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Super Nova
(Home) 10 Oct
Super Nova
2 : 1 Grobina
20 Sept
Ogre United
1 : 0 Super Nova
15 Sept
Super Nova
0 : 1 Riga FC
10 Sept
Super Nova
1 : 0 Tukums 2000
05 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1 Super Nova
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Super Nova
2 : 1 Grobina
15 Sept
Super Nova
0 : 1 Riga FC
10 Sept
Super Nova
1 : 0 Tukums 2000
22 Aug
Super Nova
0 : 0 BFC Daugavpils
16 Aug
Super Nova
0 : 1 RFS
Page 1 of 4
BFC Daugavpils
(Away) 11 Oct
Ogre United
1 : 2 BFC Daugavpils
19 Sept
FK Liepaja
0 : 0 BFC Daugavpils
13 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 2 RFS
07 Sept
Riga FC
1 : 1 BFC Daugavpils
02 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 3 FK Auda Riga
Page 1 of 6
11 Oct
Ogre United
1 : 2 BFC Daugavpils
19 Sept
FK Liepaja
0 : 0 BFC Daugavpils
07 Sept
Riga FC
1 : 1 BFC Daugavpils
29 Aug
Grobina
1 : 0 BFC Daugavpils
22 Aug
Super Nova
0 : 0 BFC Daugavpils
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RFS | 31 | 24 | 5 | 2 | 75:24 | 77 |
| 2 | Riga FC | 32 | 23 | 7 | 2 | 88:30 | 76 |
| 3 | FK Auda Riga | 32 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 52:32 | 64 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 43:46 | 43 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 37:36 | 42 |
| 6 | Super Nova | 31 | 11 | 5 | 15 | 31:41 | 38 |
| 7 | Jelgava | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 34:53 | 32 |
| 8 | Grobina | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 22:54 | 26 |
| 9 | Tukums 2000 | 32 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 44:63 | 24 |
| 10 | Ogre United | 32 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 31:78 | 18 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2027 (Main)
