Sport Picks
Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Latvia
Virsliga Jana Skredela stadions, Riga 
AI Match Summary
Super Nova host BFC Daugavpils in the Virsliga. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Super Nova at 0.93 goals for, 1.36 against; BFC Daugavpils at 1.24 for, 1.07 against. Head-to-head, Super Nova have won 1 to BFC Daugavpils's 0, with 4 draws. They last met on Aug 22, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.75 xG vs 0.94) point toward BFC Daugavpils. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and BFC Daugavpils come out ahead of Super Nova on wins alone.
- 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Virsliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Super Nova | BFC Daugavpils |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 15 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.36 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Super Nova's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Defensive concern: BFC Daugavpils conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
Solid form: Super Nova remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Super Nova
(Home)BFC Daugavpils
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RFS | 31 | 24 | 5 | 2 | 75:24 | 77 |
| 2 | Riga FC | 32 | 23 | 7 | 2 | 88:30 | 76 |
| 3 | FK Auda Riga | 32 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 52:32 | 64 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 43:46 | 43 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 37:36 | 42 |
| 6 | Super Nova | 31 | 11 | 5 | 15 | 31:41 | 38 |
| 7 | Jelgava | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 34:53 | 32 |
| 8 | Grobina | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 22:54 | 26 |
| 9 | Tukums 2000 | 32 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 44:63 | 24 |
| 10 | Ogre United | 32 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 31:78 | 18 |
