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Super Nova vs Spartaks Jurmala

Latvia Latvia

Optibet Virsliga 2022 Salaspils Sporta nams, Salaspils
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Gaucho L.
Assist: Krancmanis A.
24'
Sub
Semjonovs I. In: Cirulis J.
Out: Semjonovs I.
32'
Melniks D.

AI Match Summary

Spartaks Jurmala in this Optibet Virsliga 2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spartaks Jurmala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Super Nova
20%
Draws
52%
Spartaks Jurmala
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Spartaks Jurmala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Super Nova have won more games recently than Spartaks Jurmala.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Optibet Virsliga 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Super Nova Clean Sheet 16%
Spartaks Jurmala Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Super Nova Spartaks Jurmala
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 4 3
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.42 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 16, 2022 Virsliga
Super Nova vs Spartaks Jurmala
1:3
Jul 30, 2022 Virsliga
Spartaks Jurmala vs Super Nova
2:3
May 18, 2022 Virsliga
Super Nova vs Spartaks Jurmala
0:3
Apr 11, 2022 Virsliga
Spartaks Jurmala vs Super Nova
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Super Nova Compare

Top Goalscorer Terzi Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Spartaks Jurmala Compare

Top Goalscorer Gaucho L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Markhiev A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Super Nova 31 / 100
Spartaks Jurmala 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Super Nova Spartaks Jurmala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spartaks Jurmala Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartaks Jurmala has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Super Nova's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Super Nova remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Super Nova VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Super Nova

(Home)
20 Sept
Ogre United
1 : 0
Super Nova
15 Sept
Super Nova
0 : 1
Riga FC
10 Sept
Super Nova
1 : 0
Tukums 2000
05 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1
Super Nova
29 Aug
FK Auda Riga
1 : 1
Super Nova
Page 1 of 7

Spartaks Jurmala

(Away)
12 Nov
Tukums 2000
1 : 2
Spartaks Jurmala
06 Nov
FK Auda Riga
0 : 1
Spartaks Jurmala
29 Oct
Spartaks Jurmala
2 : 0
FK Metta
22 Oct
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 1
Spartaks Jurmala
16 Oct
Super Nova
1 : 3
Spartaks Jurmala
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valmiera 36 26 7 3 101:25 85
2 Riga FC 36 26 3 7 68:23 81
3 RFS 36 22 10 4 83:32 76
4 FK Liepaja 36 21 7 8 72:42 70
5 FK Auda Riga 36 15 6 15 42:36 51
6 Tukums 2000 36 11 5 20 38:69 38
7 BFC Daugavpils 36 9 7 20 30:67 34
8 Spartaks Jurmala 36 9 4 23 37:75 31
9 FK Metta 36 5 7 24 41:86 22
10 Super Nova 36 4 8 24 24:81 20
Promotion - Champions League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa Conference League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Relegation - Optibet Virsliga 2022 (Relegation)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2023 (Main)