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Supersport Utd vs Orlando Pirates - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Africa South Africa

Betway Premiership 2024/2025 Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium, Pretoria
Our Tip

Match Events

62'
Sub
Dlamini K. In: Kimvuidi K.
Out: Dlamini K.
64'
Sub
Ayer Boya K. In: Grobler B.
Out: Ayer Boya K.
65'
Kimvuidi K.

AI Match Summary

The Betway Premiership 2024/2025 game between Supersport Utd and Orlando Pirates finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Orlando Pirates.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Supersport Utd
20%
Draws
61%
Orlando Pirates
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Orlando Pirates

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Supersport Utd haven't matched Orlando Pirates's recent run of results.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Orlando Pirates taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Orlando Pirates have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Supersport Utd Clean Sheet 19%
Orlando Pirates Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Supersport Utd Orlando Pirates
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 7 22
Draws 9 7
Losses 13 2
Goals Scored 0.79 2.06
Goals Conceded 1.21 0.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2025 Betway Premiership
Supersport Utd vs Orlando Pirates
0:1
Mar 8, 2025 Nedbank Cup
Supersport Utd vs Orlando Pirates
2:3
Oct 22, 2024 Betway Premiership
Orlando Pirates vs Supersport Utd
2:0
Aug 3, 2024 MTN 8 Cup
Orlando Pirates vs Supersport Utd
3:1
May 25, 2024 Betway Premiership
Orlando Pirates vs Supersport Utd
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Supersport Utd Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Orlando Pirates Compare

Top Goalscorer Nkota M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Supersport Utd 16 / 100
Orlando Pirates 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Supersport Utd Orlando Pirates

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Orlando Pirates Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Supersport Utd found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Orlando Pirates conceded in 35% of 31 recent games.

Solid form: Supersport Utd remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Orlando Pirates
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Supersport Utd

(Home)
29 May
Supersport Utd
1 : 1
Golden Arrows
24 May
Supersport Utd
0 : 2
Richards Bay
20 May
Supersport Utd
0 : 1
Orlando Pirates
17 May
Stellenbosch FC
2 : 1
Supersport Utd
03 May
Supersport Utd
2 : 0
Chippa Utd.
Page 1 of 6

Orlando Pirates

(Away)
20 Sept
Marumo Gallants
0 : 2
Orlando Pirates
17 Sept
Orlando Pirates
2 : 0
Durban City
12 Sept
Orlando Pirates
3 : 1
La Cure Waves
06 Sept
La Cure Waves
0 : 0
Orlando Pirates
01 Sept
Kruger United
0 : 4
Orlando Pirates
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mamelodi Sundowns 28 24 1 3 65:13 73
2 Orlando Pirates 28 19 4 5 43:20 61
3 Stellenbosch FC 28 13 9 6 34:21 48
4 Sekhukhune 28 13 7 8 39:31 46
5 TS Galaxy 28 8 11 9 30:30 35
6 AmaZulu 28 10 5 13 29:34 35
7 Polokwane City 28 8 10 10 19:25 34
8 Richards Bay 28 9 6 13 19:26 33
9 Kaizer Chiefs 28 8 8 12 25:32 32
10 Marumo Gallants 28 8 8 12 26:39 32
11 Chippa Utd. 28 8 7 13 22:28 31
12 Golden Arrows 28 7 10 11 20:32 31
13 Magesi 28 8 7 13 19:31 31
14 Supersport Utd 28 6 9 13 18:30 27
15 Cape Town City 28 7 6 15 15:31 27
16 Royal AM 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Main)
Relegation - Betway Premiership 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Motsepe Foundation Championship 2025/2026 (Main)