Sport Picks
Supersport Utd vs Richards Bay - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
South Africa
Betway Premiership 2024/2025 Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium, Pretoria 
Match Events
33'
33'
Mbuthuma Y.
Assist: Ngema W.
46'
46'
Sub
Gcaba F. In: Nzimande O.
Out: Gcaba F.
46'
46'
Sub
Magoola S. In: Otieno I.
Out: Magoola S.
AI Match Summary
The Betway Premiership 2024/2025 game between Supersport Utd and Richards Bay finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Richards Bay.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Supersport Utd
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Richards Bay's 1 goals per match outpaces what Supersport Utd have produced (0.79).
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Supersport Utd taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Supersport Utd Clean Sheet 68%
Richards Bay Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Supersport Utd | Richards Bay |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 7 | 7 |
| Draws | 9 | 12 |
| Losses | 13 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.79 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 24, 2025 Betway Premiership
Supersport Utd vs Richards Bay
0:2
Dec 6, 2024 Betway Premiership
Richards Bay vs Supersport Utd
0:1
Mar 16, 2024 Nedbank Cup
Richards Bay vs Supersport Utd
1:3
Dec 30, 2023 Betway Premiership
Richards Bay vs Supersport Utd
3:1
Aug 5, 2023 Betway Premiership
Supersport Utd vs Richards Bay
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Supersport Utd Compare
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55
Richards Bay Compare
Top Goalscorer Mbuthuma Y.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gumede T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Supersport Utd 68 / 100
Richards Bay 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Supersport Utd Richards Bay
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Supersport Utd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Richards Bay's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Richards Bay lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Supersport Utd scored in 55% of their last 29 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Richards Bay
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Supersport Utd
(Home) 29 May
Supersport Utd
1 : 1 Golden Arrows
24 May
Supersport Utd
0 : 2 Richards Bay
20 May
Supersport Utd
0 : 1 Orlando Pirates
17 May
Stellenbosch FC
2 : 1 Supersport Utd
03 May
Supersport Utd
2 : 0 Chippa Utd.
Page 1 of 6
29 May
Supersport Utd
1 : 1 Golden Arrows
24 May
Supersport Utd
0 : 2 Richards Bay
20 May
Supersport Utd
0 : 1 Orlando Pirates
03 May
Supersport Utd
2 : 0 Chippa Utd.
30 Mar
Supersport Utd
0 : 0 Cape Town City
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Richards Bay
(Away) 19 Sept
Richards Bay
2 : 3 Sekhukhune
13 Sept
Milford
5 : 1 Richards Bay
04 Sept
Richards Bay
1 : 2 AmaZulu
26 Aug
Richards Bay
2 : 2 Kaizer Chiefs
15 Aug
Durban City
1 : 1 Richards Bay
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Milford
5 : 1 Richards Bay
15 Aug
Durban City
1 : 1 Richards Bay
11 Aug
Chippa Utd.
1 : 1 Richards Bay
25 Jul
Durban City
1 : 2 Richards Bay
23 May
Magesi
1 : 0 Richards Bay
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 28 | 24 | 1 | 3 | 65:13 | 73 |
| 2 | Orlando Pirates | 28 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 43:20 | 61 |
| 3 | Stellenbosch FC | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 34:21 | 48 |
| 4 | Sekhukhune | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 39:31 | 46 |
| 5 | TS Galaxy | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 30:30 | 35 |
| 6 | AmaZulu | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 29:34 | 35 |
| 7 | Polokwane City | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 19:25 | 34 |
| 8 | Richards Bay | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 19:26 | 33 |
| 9 | Kaizer Chiefs | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 25:32 | 32 |
| 10 | Marumo Gallants | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 26:39 | 32 |
| 11 | Chippa Utd. | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 22:28 | 31 |
| 12 | Golden Arrows | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 20:32 | 31 |
| 13 | Magesi | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 19:31 | 31 |
| 14 | Supersport Utd | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 18:30 | 27 |
| 15 | Cape Town City | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 15:31 | 27 |
| 16 | Royal AM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Main)
Relegation - Betway Premiership 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Motsepe Foundation Championship 2025/2026 (Main)
