Sport Picks
Supra du Quebec vs Atletico Ottawa
Canada
Championship CEPSUM Stadium, Montreal, QC 
Match Events
29'
29'
Choiniere D.
Assist: Kwemi L. A.
46'
46'
Sub
Mbomio R. In: Assi J.
Out: Mbomio R.
50'
50'
Rea S.
Assist: Sissoko A.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-3. The second leg ended 3-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Atletico Ottawa carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Supra du Quebec a 40% chance of winning this.
- Atletico Ottawa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Atletico Ottawa, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Supra du Quebec Clean Sheet 12%
Atletico Ottawa Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Supra du Quebec | Atletico Ottawa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.67 | 1.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Atletico Ottawa vs Supra du Quebec
0:2
Aug 16, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Supra du Quebec vs Atletico Ottawa
1:2
Aug 11, 2026 Championship
Atletico Ottawa vs Supra du Quebec
3:3
Jul 8, 2026 Championship
Supra du Quebec vs Atletico Ottawa
3:1
Jun 9, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Atletico Ottawa vs Supra du Quebec
5:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Supra du Quebec Compare
Top Goalscorer Choiniere D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rea S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Atletico Ottawa Compare
Top Goalscorer Timoteo W.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Supra du Quebec 38 / 100
Atletico Ottawa 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Supra du Quebec Atletico Ottawa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Supra du Quebec Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Supra du Quebec found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).
Atletico Ottawa let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.
Difficult form: Atletico Ottawa registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Supra du Quebec VS Atletico Ottawa
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Supra du Quebec
(Home) 20 Sept
Atletico Ottawa
0 : 2 Supra du Quebec
15 Sept
Forge FC
1 : 0 Supra du Quebec
12 Sept
Supra du Quebec
0 : 2 HFX Wanderers
06 Sept
Vancouver FC
3 : 2 Supra du Quebec
01 Sept
Supra du Quebec
1 : 1 Forge FC
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Supra du Quebec
0 : 2 HFX Wanderers
01 Sept
Supra du Quebec
1 : 1 Forge FC
28 Aug
Supra du Quebec
1 : 0 Forge FC
16 Aug
Supra du Quebec
1 : 2 Atletico Ottawa
09 Aug
Supra du Quebec
1 : 1 Cavalry
Page 1 of 3
Atletico Ottawa
(Away) 20 Sept
Atletico Ottawa
0 : 2 Supra du Quebec
12 Sept
Forge FC
3 : 0 Atletico Ottawa
05 Sept
Atletico Ottawa
0 : 0 Pacific FC
28 Aug
Atletico Ottawa
2 : 1 Inter Toronto
22 Aug
Cavalry
3 : 1 Atletico Ottawa
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Forge FC
3 : 0 Atletico Ottawa
22 Aug
Cavalry
3 : 1 Atletico Ottawa
16 Aug
Supra du Quebec
1 : 2 Atletico Ottawa
01 Aug
Vancouver FC
3 : 1 Atletico Ottawa
08 Jul
Supra du Quebec
3 : 1 Atletico Ottawa
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Vancouver Whitecaps -
TBD -
Pacific FC 1
Cavalry 3
CF Montreal 5
Calgary Blizzard SC 0
Vancouver FC 2
Langley United SA 0
Forge FC 4
HFX Wanderers 0
Inter Toronto 0
CS Saint-Laurent 1
Toronto FC 1
Atletico Ottawa 3
Supra du Quebec 3
Woodbridge Strikers 1
Quarter-finals
Vancouver Whitecaps 5
Cavalry 2
CF Montreal 4
Vancouver FC 2
Forge FC 3
CS Saint-Laurent 2
Atletico Ottawa 4
Supra du Quebec 6
Semi-finals
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
CF Montreal 3
Forge FC 2
Supra du Quebec 1
Final
CF Montreal -
Forge FC -
