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Supra du Quebec vs Inter Toronto - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Canada Canada

Canadian Premier League CEPSUM Stadium, Montreal, QC
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Supra du Quebec host Inter Toronto in the Canadian Premier League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Supra du Quebec have averaged 1.59 scored and 1.76 conceded recently, against Inter Toronto's 1.59 scored and 2.17 conceded. Past meetings favor Supra du Quebec slightly — 2-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 7, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.88, favoring Supra du Quebec. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Supra du Quebec
15%
Draws
46%
Inter Toronto
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Inter Toronto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Supra du Quebec carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Supra du Quebec taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Supra du Quebec have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Supra du Quebec Clean Sheet 10%
Inter Toronto Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Supra du Quebec Inter Toronto
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 8
Draws 6 10
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.59 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.76 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Inter Toronto vs Supra du Quebec
1:2
Aug 23, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Inter Toronto vs Supra du Quebec
1:1
May 29, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Supra du Quebec vs Inter Toronto
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Supra du Quebec 38 / 100
Inter Toronto 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Supra du Quebec Inter Toronto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Supra du Quebec Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Inter Toronto conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Supra du Quebec scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Supra du Quebec has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Supra du Quebec VS Inter Toronto
0.88 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Supra du Quebec

(Home)
04 Oct
Supra du Quebec
5 : 0
Pacific FC
26 Sept
Cavalry
6 : 0
Supra du Quebec
20 Sept
Atletico Ottawa
0 : 2
Supra du Quebec
15 Sept
Forge FC
1 : 0
Supra du Quebec
12 Sept
Supra du Quebec
0 : 2
HFX Wanderers
Page 1 of 6

Inter Toronto

(Away)
03 Oct
Inter Toronto
3 : 1
Cavalry
27 Sept
Inter Toronto
3 : 4
Pacific FC
24 Sept
Vancouver FC
3 : 3
Inter Toronto
20 Sept
HFX Wanderers
4 : 1
Inter Toronto
13 Sept
Inter Toronto
3 : 1
Vancouver FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cavalry 25 16 5 4 51:19 53
2 Forge FC 24 14 6 4 38:20 48
3 Atletico Ottawa 25 12 4 9 38:41 40
4 Vancouver FC 25 9 6 10 35:33 33
5 Supra du Quebec 24 8 4 12 36:44 28
6 HFX Wanderers 25 7 6 12 38:42 27
7 Inter Toronto 24 6 9 9 39:54 27
8 Pacific FC 24 2 8 14 30:52 14
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