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Suriname vs Martinique - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League Franklin Essed Stadion, Paramaribo
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Sub
Duville-Parsemain A. In: Blas L.
Out: Duville-Parsemain A.
46'
Sub
Klas D. In: Lonwijk J.
Out: Klas D.
54' Event
Lonwijk J.

AI Match Summary

The CONCACAF Nations League game between Suriname and Martinique finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Suriname.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Suriname
20%
Draws
29%
Martinique
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Suriname

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Suriname come out ahead of Martinique on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Suriname taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Suriname Clean Sheet 68%
Martinique Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Suriname Martinique
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 9 10
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2026 CONCACAF Nations League
Suriname vs Martinique
2:1
Mar 25, 2025 Gold Cup
Martinique vs Suriname
0:1
Mar 21, 2025 Gold Cup
Suriname vs Martinique
1:0
Mar 24, 2024 Friendly International
Suriname vs Martinique
1:1
Sep 7, 2014 Caribbean Cup
Martinique vs Suriname
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Suriname Compare

Top Goalscorer Lonwijk J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kerk G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Martinique Compare

Top Goalscorer Moltenis B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Suriname 59 / 100
Martinique 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Suriname Martinique

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Suriname Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Suriname scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Martinique let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Suriname stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Martinique lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Suriname VS Martinique
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Suriname

(Home)
06 Oct
Guatemala
1 : 0
Suriname
02 Oct
Suriname
0 : 0
Guatemala
28 Sept
Suriname
2 : 1
Martinique
26 Sept
Honduras
2 : 3
Suriname
26 Mar
Bolivia
2 : 1
Suriname
Page 1 of 6

Martinique

(Away)
05 Oct
Martinique
1 : 1
El Salvador
03 Oct
Martinique
2 : 1
Honduras
28 Sept
Suriname
2 : 1
Martinique
26 Sept
El Salvador
3 : 1
Martinique
29 Mar
Martinique
0 : 1
El Salvador
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Curacao 4 3 1 0 12:5 10
2 Haiti 4 3 0 1 9:5 9
3 Dominican Republic 4 3 0 1 8:8 9
4 Costa Rica 4 2 0 2 8:6 6
5 Trinidad & Tobago 4 0 1 3 4:7 1
6 Nicaragua 4 0 0 4 4:14 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League (League A - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guatemala 4 2 1 1 9:3 7
2 Jamaica 4 2 1 1 6:4 7
3 Suriname 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
4 Honduras 4 1 1 2 5:6 4
5 Martinique 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
6 El Salvador 4 1 1 2 4:10 4
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League (League A - Play Offs)