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Suriname W vs Dominica W

North & Central America North & Central America

Gold Cup Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Suriname W play Dominica W in the Gold Cup Women. Suriname W are favorites here. Recently, Suriname W averaged 1.76 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. Dominica W averaged 0.89 goals scored and 4.3 conceded. In past meetings, Suriname W won 2, Dominica W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Dec 4, 2023 ended 11:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 4.00 for Suriname W and 1.06 for Dominica W. This points to a Suriname W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Suriname W
15%
Draws
21%
Dominica W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Suriname W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

90% / Very High Confidence
  • Suriname W picked up more points recently compared to Dominica W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (4.00 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 86%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Suriname W Clean Sheet 22%
Dominica W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Suriname W Dominica W
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 11 4
Draws 2 5
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 1.76 0.89
Goals Conceded 2.1 4.3
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 7.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 4, 2023 Gold Cup Women
Suriname W vs Dominica W
11:0
Sep 20, 2023 Gold Cup Women
Dominica W vs Suriname W
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Suriname W Compare

Top Goalscorer Patra K.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Chong C. C. S.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.79
Avg xA / game 1.81

Dominica W Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Suriname W 62 / 100
Dominica W 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Suriname W Dominica W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Suriname W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Suriname W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.6%
1.79
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Suriname W attacking → ← attacking Dominica W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Suriname W scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Dominica W let in goals in 89% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 7.50 goals.

Suriname W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Dominica W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 17
3.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 7.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Guyana W650120:215
2Suriname W640217:212
3Antigua and Barbuda W61143:84
4Dominica W61142:304
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1El Salvador W660024:218
2Martinique W62137:157
3Nicaragua W61235:115
4Honduras W61145:134
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Dominican Republic W650124:315
2Bermuda W641114:513
3Barbados W611411:194
4Saint Vincent and the Grenadines W61054:263