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Surnadal vs Orkla

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Gjul V.
54' Event
Smevoll S.
70' Event
Naess T.

AI Match Summary

Surnadal in this Division 3 - Group 4 2024 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Surnadal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Surnadal
17%
Draws
13%
Orkla
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Surnadal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Surnadal haven't matched Orkla's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Surnadal's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 4 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Surnadal Clean Sheet 10%
Orkla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Surnadal Orkla
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 4 7
Draws 7 4
Losses 18 19
Goals Scored 1.43 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.14 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.43 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.14 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2024 Division 3 - Group 4
Surnadal vs Orkla
5:1
May 20, 2024 Division 3 - Group 4
Orkla vs Surnadal
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Surnadal Compare

Top Goalscorer Roen A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gjul V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.71

Orkla Compare

Top Goalscorer Lynum E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Surnadal 65 / 100
Orkla 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Surnadal Orkla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SUR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Surnadal's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Orkla let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Surnadal remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Surnadal VS Orkla
1.43 Goals Scored 1.63
2.14 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
57% Over 2.5 88%
57% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Surnadal

(Home)
26 Oct
Surnadal
1 : 3
Spjelkavik
18 Oct
Tiller
1 : 1
Surnadal
11 Oct
Surnadal
2 : 3
Kristiansund 2
04 Oct
Melhus
1 : 1
Surnadal
27 Sept
Surnadal
4 : 1
Nardo
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Orkla

(Away)
27 Jun
Orkla
3 : 5
Molde 2
20 Jun
Spjelkavik
0 : 2
Orkla
13 Jun
Orkla
2 : 5
Volda
30 May
FK Kvik
1 : 1
Orkla
22 May
Orkla
0 : 2
Melhus
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