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Sutherland Sharks vs Marconi Stallions - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

NPL NSW Seymour Shaw Park, Sutherland
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Shoueiki R.
13' Event
Shoueiki R.
43' Event
Mlinaric A.

AI Match Summary

Marconi Stallions in this NPL NSW matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Marconi Stallions.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Sutherland Sharks
20%
Draws
51%
Marconi Stallions
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Marconi Stallions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Marconi Stallions lately — more wins on the board than Sutherland Sharks.
  • Model gives Sutherland Sharks a 29% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Marconi Stallions have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Sutherland Sharks Clean Sheet 19%
Marconi Stallions Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sutherland Sharks Marconi Stallions
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 18
Draws 4 5
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.57 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.3 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 NPL NSW
Marconi Stallions vs Sutherland Sharks
1:0
May 2, 2026 NPL NSW
Sutherland Sharks vs Marconi Stallions
2:4
Aug 31, 2025 NPL NSW
Marconi Stallions vs Sutherland Sharks
3:0
May 17, 2025 NPL NSW
Sutherland Sharks vs Marconi Stallions
0:2
Jun 22, 2024 NPL NSW
Marconi Stallions vs Sutherland Sharks
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sutherland Sharks Compare

Top Goalscorer Shoueiki R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Marconi Stallions Compare

Top Goalscorer Mlinaric A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maya F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sutherland Sharks 40 / 100
Marconi Stallions 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sutherland Sharks Marconi Stallions

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sutherland Sharks Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sutherland Sharks found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Defensive concern: Marconi Stallions conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Sutherland Sharks has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sutherland Sharks VS Marconi Stallions
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sutherland Sharks

(Home)
02 Sept
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2
Manly Utd
30 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2
SD Raiders
22 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
2 : 1
St. George City
16 Aug
Marconi Stallions
1 : 0
Sutherland Sharks
08 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 1
Sydney FC U23
Page 1 of 6

Marconi Stallions

(Away)
02 Sept
Marconi Stallions
1 : 3
NWS Spirit
30 Aug
Marconi Stallions
1 : 1
NWS Spirit
23 Aug
Sydney Olympic
0 : 1
Marconi Stallions
16 Aug
Marconi Stallions
1 : 0
Sutherland Sharks
08 Aug
Manly Utd
3 : 1
Marconi Stallions
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 APIA Leichhardt 30 21 5 4 66:35 68
2 Sydney Utd 30 20 4 6 47:20 64
3 Marconi Stallions 30 19 5 6 50:22 62
4 Sutherland Sharks 30 14 4 12 46:38 46
5 Manly Utd 30 12 8 10 39:35 44
6 NWS Spirit 30 12 5 13 37:38 41
7 SD Raiders 30 12 5 13 44:49 41
8 Sydney FC U23 30 11 8 11 38:43 41
9 Rockdale Ilinden 30 12 4 14 46:44 40
10 Western Sydney Wanderers U21 30 11 5 14 55:49 38
11 Wollongong 30 11 5 14 35:43 38
12 St. George City 30 10 7 13 30:46 37
13 Blacktown City 30 9 8 13 43:46 35
14 UNSW 30 9 5 16 38:49 32
15 St George Saints 30 8 3 19 28:55 27
16 Sydney Olympic 30 6 5 19 32:62 23
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)