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Sutherland Sharks vs SD Raiders - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

NPL NSW Seymour Shaw Park, Sutherland
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Shoueiki R.
71' Event
Ragg C.
90' Event
Frias J.

AI Match Summary

SD Raiders in this NPL NSW matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored SD Raiders.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Sutherland Sharks
15%
Draws
51%
SD Raiders
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SD Raiders

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Sutherland Sharks at 1.59 per game, SD Raiders at 1.47.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Sutherland Sharks Clean Sheet 13%
SD Raiders Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sutherland Sharks SD Raiders
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 14
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.59 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 NPL NSW
Sutherland Sharks vs SD Raiders
1:2
May 16, 2026 NPL NSW
SD Raiders vs Sutherland Sharks
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sutherland Sharks Compare

Top Goalscorer Shoueiki R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

SD Raiders Compare

Top Goalscorer Ragg C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Frias J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sutherland Sharks 35 / 100
SD Raiders 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sutherland Sharks SD Raiders

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SD Raiders Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sutherland Sharks scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

SD Raiders has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

SD Raiders's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sutherland Sharks VS SD Raiders
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sutherland Sharks

(Home)
02 Sept
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2
Manly Utd
30 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2
SD Raiders
22 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
2 : 1
St. George City
16 Aug
Marconi Stallions
1 : 0
Sutherland Sharks
08 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 1
Sydney FC U23
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SD Raiders

(Away)
30 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2
SD Raiders
22 Aug
NWS Spirit
1 : 0
SD Raiders
18 Aug
SD Raiders
0 : 1
Sydney FC
15 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
3 : 1
SD Raiders
11 Aug
SD Raiders
2 : 1
Macarthur FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 APIA Leichhardt 30 21 5 4 66:35 68
2 Sydney Utd 30 20 4 6 47:20 64
3 Marconi Stallions 30 19 5 6 50:22 62
4 Sutherland Sharks 30 14 4 12 46:38 46
5 Manly Utd 30 12 8 10 39:35 44
6 NWS Spirit 30 12 5 13 37:38 41
7 SD Raiders 30 12 5 13 44:49 41
8 Sydney FC U23 30 11 8 11 38:43 41
9 Rockdale Ilinden 30 12 4 14 46:44 40
10 Western Sydney Wanderers U21 30 11 5 14 55:49 38
11 Wollongong 30 11 5 14 35:43 38
12 St. George City 30 10 7 13 30:46 37
13 Blacktown City 30 9 8 13 43:46 35
14 UNSW 30 9 5 16 38:49 32
15 St George Saints 30 8 3 19 28:55 27
16 Sydney Olympic 30 6 5 19 32:62 23
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)