Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sutjeska Foca vs Kozara

Bosnia and Herzegovina Bosnia and Herzegovina

Prva Liga - RS 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Samardzija P.

AI Match Summary

Kozara in this Prva Liga - RS 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kozara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Sutjeska Foca
20%
Draws
57%
Kozara
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kozara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Kozara have won more games recently than Sutjeska Foca.
  • Model gives Kozara a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Sutjeska Foca Clean Sheet 16%
Kozara Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sutjeska Foca Kozara
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 13
Draws 4 6
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 0.93 0.82
Goals Conceded 1.57 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.51 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Prva Liga - RS
Kozara vs Sutjeska Foca
1:0
Apr 5, 2026 Prva Liga - RS
Sutjeska Foca vs Kozara
0:1
Oct 4, 2025 Prva Liga - RS
Kozara vs Sutjeska Foca
1:1
Apr 2, 2025 Prva Liga - RS
Sutjeska Foca vs Kozara
2:0
Sep 7, 2024 Prva Liga - RS
Kozara vs Sutjeska Foca
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sutjeska Foca Compare

Avg xG / game 0.39
Avg xA / game 0.26

Kozara Compare

Top Goalscorer Samardzija P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sutjeska Foca 28 / 100
Kozara 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sutjeska Foca Kozara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kozara Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Sutjeska Foca's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Kozara has conceded goals in 50% of their last 28 outings.

Sutjeska Foca has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sutjeska Foca VS Kozara
0.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sutjeska Foca

(Home)
26 Sept
Kozara
1 : 0
Sutjeska Foca
23 Sept
Sutjeska Foca
1 : 0
Omarska
19 Sept
Rudar Prijedor
1 : 0
Sutjeska Foca
16 Sept
Leotar
2 : 0
Sutjeska Foca
12 Sept
Sutjeska Foca
0 : 0
Zvornik
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Kozara

(Away)
26 Sept
Kozara
1 : 0
Sutjeska Foca
23 Sept
Slavija
0 : 0
Kozara
19 Sept
Kozara
1 : 0
Nevesinje
12 Sept
Leotar
3 : 0
Kozara
05 Sept
Kozara
3 : 0
Romanija Pale
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Laktasi 24 14 6 4 45:16 48
2 BSK Banja Luka 24 14 5 5 38:19 47
3 Leotar 24 12 10 2 37:15 46
4 Kozara 24 10 6 8 24:25 36
5 Slavija 24 9 8 7 28:23 35
6 Zvornik 24 10 4 10 36:20 34
7 Zvijezda 09 24 8 6 10 23:31 30
8 Sutjeska Foca 24 8 5 11 31:34 29
9 Romanija Pale 24 8 4 12 24:31 28
10 Nevesinje 24 8 3 13 27:41 27
11 Famos Vojkovici 24 7 6 11 22:40 27
12 Omarska 24 7 4 13 25:48 25
13 Vlasenica 24 4 7 13 14:31 19
14 Sloboda Novi Grad 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Prva Liga - RS 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Prva Liga - RS 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)