Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sutjeska vs Decic

Montenegro Montenegro

Prva Crnogorska Liga 2025/2026 Stadion Gradski, Nikšić
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Mrvaljevic M.
30'
Maras L.
43'
Cavor V.

AI Match Summary

Sutjeska in this Prva Crnogorska Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sutjeska.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Sutjeska
22%
Draws
60%
Decic
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Decic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sutjeska lately — more wins on the board than Decic.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Decic taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Sutjeska Clean Sheet 23%
Decic Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sutjeska Decic
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 0.88 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Sutjeska vs Decic
3:0
Mar 15, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Decic vs Sutjeska
1:2
Nov 26, 2025 Montenegrin Cup
Decic vs Sutjeska
2:1
Nov 22, 2025 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Sutjeska vs Decic
3:1
Sep 17, 2025 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Decic vs Sutjeska
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sutjeska Compare

Top Goalscorer Mrvaljevic M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Raznatovic A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Decic Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sutjeska 21 / 100
Decic 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sutjeska Decic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sutjeska found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Decic conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Away concern: Decic has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sutjeska VS Decic
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sutjeska

(Home)
23 Jul
ML Vitebsk
3 : 0
Sutjeska
15 Jul
Sutjeska
0 : 2
Kairat Almaty
08 Jul
Kairat Almaty
2 : 1
Sutjeska
01 Jul
Sutjeska
1 : 2
FK Sarajevo
24 Jun
Mornar Bar
1 : 0
Sutjeska
Page 1 of 6

Decic

(Away)
15 Jul
Decic
1 : 2
FK Liepaja
09 Jul
FK Liepaja
1 : 0
Decic
04 Jul
Decic
4 : 1
Arsenal Tivat
17 Jun
Vllaznia
1 : 1
Decic
28 May
Decic
0 : 1
Mornar Bar
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sutjeska36226861:3672
2Mornar Bar36209751:2969
3Petrovac3613121144:3651
4Decic361491343:4551
5Buducnost361391436:3548
6Mladost DG361441849:5446
7Arsenal Tivat3612101436:4646
8Jezero3610111538:4841
9Bokelj368121638:4836
10Jedinstvo36981930:4935
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva Crnogorska Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)