Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sutjeska vs Decic

Montenegro Montenegro

Prva Crnogorska Liga 2025/2026 Stadion Gradski, Nikšić
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Mrvaljevic M.
30'
Maras L.
43'
Cavor V.

AI Match Summary

Sutjeska in this Prva Crnogorska Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sutjeska.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Sutjeska
30%
Draws
27%
Decic
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sutjeska

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sutjeska lately — more wins on the board than Decic.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Sutjeska taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Sutjeska here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Sutjeska Clean Sheet 68%
Decic Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sutjeska Decic
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 15 12
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.31 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.06 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Sutjeska vs Decic
2:0
May 16, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Sutjeska vs Decic
3:0
Mar 15, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Decic vs Sutjeska
1:2
Nov 26, 2025 Montenegrin Cup
Decic vs Sutjeska
2:1
Nov 22, 2025 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Sutjeska vs Decic
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sutjeska Compare

Top Goalscorer Mrvaljevic M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Raznatovic A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Decic Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sutjeska 95 / 100
Decic 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sutjeska Decic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sutjeska Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sutjeska has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Sutjeska found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: Decic conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Sutjeska VS Decic
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sutjeska

(Home)
13 Sept
Sutjeska
2 : 0
Decic
08 Sept
Sutjeska
1 : 0
Mornar Bar
04 Sept
Petrovac
0 : 0
Sutjeska
28 Aug
Sutjeska
5 : 1
Mladost DG
22 Aug
Jezero
0 : 0
Sutjeska
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Decic

(Away)
13 Sept
Sutjeska
2 : 0
Decic
09 Sept
Decic
1 : 1
Petrovac
05 Sept
Mladost DG
2 : 0
Decic
30 Aug
Decic
2 : 1
Jezero
23 Aug
Otrant
0 : 3
Decic
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sutjeska 36 22 6 8 61:36 72
2 Mornar Bar 36 20 9 7 51:29 69
3 Petrovac 36 13 12 11 44:36 51
4 Decic 36 14 9 13 43:45 51
5 Buducnost 36 13 9 14 36:35 48
6 Mladost DG 36 14 4 18 49:54 46
7 Arsenal Tivat 36 12 10 14 36:46 46
8 Jezero 36 10 11 15 38:48 41
9 Bokelj 36 8 12 16 38:48 36
10 Jedinstvo 36 9 8 19 30:49 35
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva Crnogorska Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)