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Sutjeska vs Decic - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Montenegro Montenegro

Montenegrin Cup Stadion Gradski, Nikšić
Wed, Oct 14, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 2-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Sutjeska at 1.29 goals for, 1.06 against; Decic at 1.17 for, 1 against. Past meetings favor Sutjeska slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 13, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 1.00, favoring Sutjeska. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Sutjeska
30%
Draws
19%
Decic
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sutjeska

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Sutjeska carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Sutjeska are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Sutjeska have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sutjeska, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sutjeska here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Sutjeska Clean Sheet 20%
Decic Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sutjeska Decic
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.29 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.06 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Sutjeska vs Decic
2:0
May 16, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Sutjeska vs Decic
3:0
Mar 15, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Decic vs Sutjeska
1:2
Nov 26, 2025 Montenegrin Cup
Decic vs Sutjeska
2:1
Nov 22, 2025 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Sutjeska vs Decic
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sutjeska 85 / 100
Decic 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sutjeska Decic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sutjeska Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sutjeska went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Sutjeska found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Decic's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Sutjeska VS Decic
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sutjeska

(Home)
19 Sept
Arsenal Tivat
0 : 2
Sutjeska
13 Sept
Sutjeska
2 : 0
Decic
08 Sept
Sutjeska
1 : 0
Mornar Bar
04 Sept
Petrovac
0 : 0
Sutjeska
28 Aug
Sutjeska
5 : 1
Mladost DG
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Decic

(Away)
20 Sept
Decic
1 : 1
Mornar Bar
13 Sept
Sutjeska
2 : 0
Decic
09 Sept
Decic
1 : 1
Petrovac
05 Sept
Mladost DG
2 : 0
Decic
30 Aug
Decic
2 : 1
Jezero
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Lovcen -
Jezero -
Sutjeska -
Decic -
Petrovac -
Kom Podgorica -
Arsenal Tivat -
Grbalj -
Mladost DG -
Iskra Danilovgrad -
Berane -
Jedinstvo -
Bokelj -
Buducnost -
Otrant -
Mornar Bar -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -