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Sutjeska vs Decic - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Montenegro Montenegro

Prva Crnogorska Liga Stadion Gradski, Nikšić
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Boljevic A.
46'
Sub
Camara M. In: Cadjenovic J.
Out: Camara M.
46'
Sub
Cetkovic A. In: Radusinovic B.
Out: Cetkovic A.

AI Match Summary

Sutjeska in this Prva Crnogorska Liga matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sutjeska.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Sutjeska
30%
Draws
19%
Decic
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sutjeska

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Sutjeska have won more games recently than Decic.
  • Win probability leans Sutjeska's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Prva Crnogorska Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Sutjeska have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Sutjeska Clean Sheet 68%
Decic Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sutjeska Decic
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.29 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.06 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Sutjeska vs Decic
2:0
May 16, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Sutjeska vs Decic
3:0
Mar 15, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Decic vs Sutjeska
1:2
Nov 26, 2025 Montenegrin Cup
Decic vs Sutjeska
2:1
Nov 22, 2025 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Sutjeska vs Decic
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sutjeska Compare

Top Goalscorer Boljevic A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Decic Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sutjeska 95 / 100
Decic 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sutjeska Decic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sutjeska Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Sutjeska stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Sutjeska's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Decic conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Sutjeska VS Decic
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sutjeska

(Home)
19 Sept
Arsenal Tivat
0 : 2
Sutjeska
13 Sept
Sutjeska
2 : 0
Decic
08 Sept
Sutjeska
1 : 0
Mornar Bar
04 Sept
Petrovac
0 : 0
Sutjeska
28 Aug
Sutjeska
5 : 1
Mladost DG
Page 1 of 7

Decic

(Away)
20 Sept
Decic
1 : 1
Mornar Bar
13 Sept
Sutjeska
2 : 0
Decic
09 Sept
Decic
1 : 1
Petrovac
05 Sept
Mladost DG
2 : 0
Decic
30 Aug
Decic
2 : 1
Jezero
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Otrant 10 5 2 3 17:12 17
2 Decic 9 4 3 2 10:7 15
3 Bokelj 9 4 3 2 8:5 15
4 Buducnost 9 4 2 3 11:7 14
5 Sutjeska 9 4 2 3 11:7 14
6 Mornar Bar 10 3 5 2 12:10 14
7 Mladost DG 10 3 2 5 10:17 11
8 Jezero 10 2 4 4 12:18 10
9 Petrovac 9 1 5 3 7:9 8
10 Arsenal Tivat 9 1 4 4 5:11 7
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Druga Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Druga Liga 2027/2028 (Main)