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Stadium Background

Sutton vs AFC Wimbledon

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Babalola T.
86' Event
Nelson Z.
90' Event
Hippolyte M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

AFC Wimbledon in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored AFC Wimbledon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Sutton
15%
Draws
64%
AFC Wimbledon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AFC Wimbledon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sutton lately — more wins on the board than AFC Wimbledon.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on AFC Wimbledon taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Sutton Clean Sheet 20%
AFC Wimbledon Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sutton AFC Wimbledon
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.19 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Sutton vs AFC Wimbledon
1:2
Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Sutton vs AFC Wimbledon
2:0
Dec 26, 2023 League Two
AFC Wimbledon vs Sutton
0:1
Aug 19, 2023 League Two
Sutton vs AFC Wimbledon
0:3
Jan 1, 2023 League Two
Sutton vs AFC Wimbledon
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sutton Compare

Top Goalscorer Babalola T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

AFC Wimbledon Compare

Top Goalscorer Nelson Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sutton 24 / 100
AFC Wimbledon 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sutton AFC Wimbledon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFC Wimbledon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sutton's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

AFC Wimbledon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Sutton remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sutton VS AFC Wimbledon
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sutton

(Home)
12 Sept
Sutton
0 : 2
Scunthorpe
08 Sept
Sutton
1 : 2
Birmingham U21
05 Sept
Barrow
3 : 0
Sutton
31 Aug
Sutton
0 : 2
Wealdstone
28 Aug
Gateshead
0 : 1
Sutton
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AFC Wimbledon

(Away)
12 Sept
AFC Wimbledon
1 : 0
Doncaster
07 Sept
Bromley
0 : 2
AFC Wimbledon
02 Sept
Burton
4 : 1
AFC Wimbledon
30 Aug
AFC Wimbledon
1 : 0
Wigan
27 Aug
Fulham
3 : 0
AFC Wimbledon
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