Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sutton vs AFC Wimbledon

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Babalola T.
86' Event
Nelson Z.
90' Event
Hippolyte M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

AFC Wimbledon in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored AFC Wimbledon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Sutton
17%
Draws
13%
AFC Wimbledon
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Sutton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AFC Wimbledon lately — more wins on the board than Sutton.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Sutton taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Sutton Clean Sheet 20%
AFC Wimbledon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sutton AFC Wimbledon
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 9
Draws 8 4
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Sutton vs AFC Wimbledon
2:0
Dec 26, 2023 League Two
AFC Wimbledon vs Sutton
0:1
Aug 19, 2023 League Two
Sutton vs AFC Wimbledon
0:3
Jan 1, 2023 League Two
Sutton vs AFC Wimbledon
2:1
Nov 22, 2022 EFL Trophy
AFC Wimbledon vs Sutton
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sutton Compare

Top Goalscorer Babalola T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

AFC Wimbledon Compare

Top Goalscorer Nelson Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sutton 67 / 100
AFC Wimbledon 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sutton AFC Wimbledon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SUT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AFC Wimbledon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

Sutton's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: AFC Wimbledon has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sutton VS AFC Wimbledon
1 Goals Scored 0.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sutton

(Home)
18 Jul
Sutton
1 : 2
AFC Wimbledon
14 Jul
Tonbridge
0 : 2
Sutton
11 Jul
AFC Totton
2 : 2
Sutton
25 Apr
Boreham Wood
1 : 0
Sutton
18 Apr
Sutton
1 : 2
Altrincham
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AFC Wimbledon

(Away)
18 Jul
Sutton
1 : 2
AFC Wimbledon
02 May
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 4
Huddersfield
25 Apr
Wigan
0 : 1
AFC Wimbledon
18 Apr
AFC Wimbledon
1 : 3
Plymouth
15 Apr
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 2
Stockport County
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