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Sutton vs Boreham Wood Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

National League VBS Community Stadium, London
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sutton host Boreham Wood in the National League. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Sutton have averaged 1.21 scored and 1.46 conceded recently, against Boreham Wood's 2.56 scored and 1.16 conceded. Head-to-head, Sutton have won 1 to Boreham Wood's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 2.13, favoring Boreham Wood. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Sutton
20%
Draws
56%
Boreham Wood
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Boreham Wood

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Boreham Wood carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Boreham Wood a 56% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Sutton Clean Sheet 10%
Boreham Wood Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sutton Boreham Wood
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 11 25
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 3
Goals Scored 1.21 2.56
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 National League
Boreham Wood vs Sutton
1:0
Sep 3, 2025 National League
Sutton vs Boreham Wood
3:4
Apr 2, 2021 National League
Boreham Wood vs Sutton
0:0
Feb 13, 2021 National League
Sutton vs Boreham Wood
2:0
Apr 18, 2020 National League
Sutton vs Boreham Wood
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sutton 14 / 100
Boreham Wood 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sutton Boreham Wood

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Boreham Wood Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sutton scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Boreham Wood let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Sutton stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sutton VS Boreham Wood
0.88 Goals Scored 2.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sutton

(Home)
30 Sept
Tamworth
2 : 0
Sutton
26 Sept
Sutton
3 : 3
Forest Green
19 Sept
Halifax
1 : 1
Sutton
15 Sept
Sutton
2 : 1
Eastleigh
12 Sept
Sutton
0 : 2
Scunthorpe
Page 1 of 6

Boreham Wood

(Away)
29 Sept
Boreham Wood
3 : 1
Kidderminster
26 Sept
Solihull Moors
0 : 3
Boreham Wood
23 Sept
Boreham Wood
1 : 2
Everton U21
19 Sept
Boreham Wood
4 : 1
Harrogate
16 Sept
Scunthorpe
1 : 2
Boreham Wood
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 11 9 2 0 29:12 29
2 Harrogate 11 7 1 3 25:17 22
3 Southend 11 6 3 2 26:17 21
4 Altrincham 11 7 0 4 16:15 21
5 AFC Fylde 11 6 2 3 21:15 20
6 Yeovil 11 5 4 2 20:15 19
7 Aldershot 11 5 3 3 16:10 18
8 Worthing FC 11 5 3 3 20:17 18
9 Kidderminster 11 5 3 3 14:11 18
10 Hornchurch 11 6 0 5 13:16 18
11 Sutton 11 5 2 4 13:15 17
12 Barrow 11 4 3 4 18:14 15
13 Forest Green 11 4 3 4 17:18 15
14 Eastleigh 11 4 3 4 13:15 15
15 Halifax 11 4 2 5 16:14 14
16 Carlisle 11 3 4 4 20:19 13
17 Wealdstone 11 3 3 5 16:16 12
18 Woking 11 3 3 5 17:18 12
19 Boston United 11 3 3 5 14:15 12
20 Tamworth 11 3 2 6 19:28 11
21 Scunthorpe 11 3 1 7 15:19 10
22 Hartlepool 11 3 0 8 8:16 9
23 Solihull Moors 11 2 1 8 13:28 7
24 Gateshead 11 1 1 9 6:25 4
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
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