Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sutton vs Fulham U21

England England

National League Cup 2025/2026 VBS Community Stadium, London
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Olyott T.
Assist: Ali Wahid F.
46'
Sub
Pruti E. In: Eccleston J.
Out: Pruti E.
46'
Sub
Odelusi S. In: Woodyard A.
Out: Odelusi S.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-7, with Fulham U21 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Sutton
15%
Draws
59%
Fulham U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fulham U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Sutton have managed 1.22 goals a game lately — Fulham U21 are scoring more at 2.14.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Fulham U21 taking it.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Fulham U21, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Sutton Clean Sheet 12%
Fulham U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sutton Fulham U21
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 4 6
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.22 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2025 National League Cup
Sutton vs Fulham U21
0:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sutton Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Fulham U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Loupalo-Bi A.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Olyott T.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sutton 19 / 100
Fulham U21 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sutton Fulham U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fulham U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fulham U21 let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.

Sutton scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

Sutton has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sutton VS Fulham U21
1.13 Goals Scored 2.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Sutton

(Home)
15 Sept
Sutton
2 : 1
Eastleigh
12 Sept
Sutton
0 : 2
Scunthorpe
08 Sept
Sutton
1 : 2
Birmingham U21
05 Sept
Barrow
3 : 0
Sutton
31 Aug
Sutton
0 : 2
Wealdstone
Page 1 of 6

Fulham U21

(Away)
11 Sept
Fulham U21
3 : 3
Aston Villa U21
08 Sept
Braintree
2 : 1
Fulham U21
31 Aug
Newcastle Utd U21
0 : 4
Fulham U21
26 Aug
Fulham U21
1 : 4
Dortmund II
21 Aug
Fulham U21
4 : 3
Burnley U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tamworth 4 4 0 0 12:1 12
2 Brackley 4 3 0 1 7:3 10
3 Rochdale 4 3 0 1 6:5 9
4 Solihull Moors 4 3 0 1 6:3 8
5 Everton U21 4 2 0 2 4:5 5
6 Manchester United U21 4 1 0 3 4:9 3
7 Burnley U21 4 0 0 4 2:8 1
8 Blackburn U21 4 0 0 4 2:9 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 4 4 0 0 13:4 12
2 Braintree 4 3 0 1 8:5 9
3 Wealdstone 4 3 0 1 6:4 9
4 Forest Green 4 2 0 2 8:6 7
5 Nottingham U21 4 2 0 2 3:3 6
6 West Brom U21 4 1 0 3 5:10 3
7 Leicester U21 4 1 0 3 6:10 2
8 Wolves U21 4 0 0 4 5:12 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham U21 4 4 0 0 13:4 11
2 Truro 4 3 0 1 7:5 9
3 Woking 4 3 0 1 5:4 8
4 Brighton U21 4 2 0 2 5:6 7
5 Aldershot 4 1 0 3 7:11 4
6 Sutton 4 1 0 3 8:13 4
7 Fulham U21 4 1 0 3 8:5 3
8 Southampton U21 4 1 0 3 7:12 2
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boston United 4 3 0 1 11:4 9
2 Halifax 4 3 0 1 6:2 9
3 Newcastle Utd U21 4 2 0 2 7:6 7
4 Scunthorpe 4 2 0 2 8:8 6
5 Leeds U21 4 2 0 2 6:8 6
6 Sunderland U21 4 2 0 2 5:8 6
7 Middlesbrough U21 4 1 0 3 6:7 3
8 Gateshead 4 1 0 3 4:10 2
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)