Sport Picks
Sutton vs Southampton U21
England
National League Cup 2025/2026 VBS Community Stadium, London 
Match Events
9'
9'
Simper L.
Assist: Ogbonna D.
27'
27'
Kakay S.
Assist: Dipepa B.
43'
43'
Taylor J.
AI Match Summary
Sutton in this National League Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 4-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
22%
20%
58%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Southampton U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sutton have won more games recently than Southampton U21.
- Southampton U21 are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Sutton have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Sutton, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Sutton Clean Sheet 20%
Southampton U21 Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sutton | Southampton U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Sutton vs Southampton U21
3:2
Nov 25, 2025 National League Cup
Sutton vs Southampton U21
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sutton Compare
Top Goalscorer Simper L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Jennings K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Southampton U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Kakay S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sutton 20 / 100
Southampton U21 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sutton Southampton U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Southampton U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Southampton U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.
Sutton's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Recent resilience: Sutton stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sutton VS Southampton U21
1 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Sutton
(Home) 15 Sept
Sutton
2 : 1 Eastleigh
12 Sept
Sutton
0 : 2 Scunthorpe
08 Sept
Sutton
1 : 2 Birmingham U21
05 Sept
Barrow
3 : 0 Sutton
31 Aug
Sutton
0 : 2 Wealdstone
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Sutton
2 : 1 Eastleigh
12 Sept
Sutton
0 : 2 Scunthorpe
08 Sept
Sutton
1 : 2 Birmingham U21
31 Aug
Sutton
0 : 2 Wealdstone
22 Aug
Sutton
2 : 1 Hartlepool
Page 1 of 4
Southampton U21
(Away) 12 Sept
Southampton U21
3 : 1 Bournemouth U21
08 Sept
Woking
4 : 1 Southampton U21
04 Sept
Bolton U21
1 : 1 Southampton U21
28 Aug
Everton U21
1 : 2 Southampton U21
21 Aug
West Ham U21
0 : 0 Southampton U21
Page 1 of 6
08 Sept
Woking
4 : 1 Southampton U21
04 Sept
Bolton U21
1 : 1 Southampton U21
28 Aug
Everton U21
1 : 2 Southampton U21
21 Aug
West Ham U21
0 : 0 Southampton U21
18 Aug
Truro
2 : 1 Southampton U21
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tamworth | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:1 | 12 |
| 2 | Brackley | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 10 |
| 3 | Rochdale | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 9 |
| 4 | Solihull Moors | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 5 | Everton U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 6 | Manchester United U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:9 | 3 |
| 7 | Burnley U21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:8 | 1 |
| 8 | Blackburn U21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:9 | 0 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Braintree | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 3 | Wealdstone | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 9 |
| 4 | Forest Green | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 7 |
| 5 | Nottingham U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 6 |
| 6 | West Brom U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | 3 |
| 7 | Leicester U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:10 | 2 |
| 8 | Wolves U21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5:12 | 0 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Ham U21 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13:4 | 11 |
| 2 | Truro | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 9 |
| 3 | Woking | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 8 |
| 4 | Brighton U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 7 |
| 5 | Aldershot | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:11 | 4 |
| 6 | Sutton | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:13 | 4 |
| 7 | Fulham U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:5 | 3 |
| 8 | Southampton U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:12 | 2 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boston United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:4 | 9 |
| 2 | Halifax | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 9 |
| 3 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Scunthorpe | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 5 | Leeds U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 6 | Sunderland U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:8 | 6 |
| 7 | Middlesbrough U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:7 | 3 |
| 8 | Gateshead | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | 2 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
