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Sutton vs Southampton U21

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Kirk A.
30' Event
Sesay M.
44' Event
Nightingale W.

AI Match Summary

Sutton in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sutton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Sutton
15%
Draws
24%
Southampton U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sutton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Southampton U21 haven't matched Sutton's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Sutton Clean Sheet 19%
Southampton U21 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sutton Southampton U21
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 13 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.56 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.27
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Sutton vs Southampton U21
3:2
Nov 25, 2025 National League Cup
Sutton vs Southampton U21
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sutton Compare

Top Goalscorer Kirk A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nightingale W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Southampton U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sesay M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bailey L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.71

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sutton 31 / 100
Southampton U21 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sutton Southampton U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sutton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sutton found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).

Defensive concern: Southampton U21 conceded in 89% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Sutton remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sutton VS Southampton U21
1.25 Goals Scored 1.67
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 67%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sutton

(Home)
18 Aug
Sutton
1 : 0
Leicester U21
15 Aug
Sutton
1 : 0
Altrincham
08 Aug
Woking
0 : 3
Sutton
01 Aug
Sutton
3 : 2
Southampton U21
28 Jul
Sutton
2 : 1
Folkestone
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Southampton U21

(Away)
18 Aug
Truro
2 : 1
Southampton U21
14 Aug
Southampton U21
4 : 0
Blackburn U21
01 Aug
Sutton
3 : 2
Southampton U21
18 Jul
Maidenhead
1 : 3
Southampton U21
24 Apr
Southampton U21
3 : 4
Aston Villa U21
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