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Stadium Background

Sutton vs Truro

England England

National League 2025/2026 VBS Community Stadium, London
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Bell C.
35' Event
Dean W.
45'
Francis J.

AI Match Summary

Truro in this National League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Truro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Sutton
28%
Draws
22%
Truro
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Sutton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Truro haven't matched Sutton's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Sutton's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular National League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Sutton Clean Sheet 20%
Truro Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sutton Truro
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 10 6
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 0.88 0.43
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.43
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.43

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 National League
Sutton vs Truro
0:3
Nov 22, 2025 National League
Truro vs Sutton
2:3
Dec 16, 2017 FA Trophy
Sutton vs Truro
1:0
Mar 26, 2016 National League South
Truro vs Sutton
0:2
Aug 17, 2015 National League South
Sutton vs Truro
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sutton Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Truro Compare

Top Goalscorer Dean W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stretton J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.39
Avg xA / game 0.24

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sutton 49 / 100
Truro 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sutton Truro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SUT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sutton found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).

Truro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Sutton stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sutton VS Truro
0.88 Goals Scored 0.43
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.43
75% Over 1.5 14%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sutton

(Home)
01 Aug
Sutton
3 : 2
Southampton U21
28 Jul
Sutton
2 : 1
Folkestone
25 Jul
Sutton
2 : 0
Horsham FC
21 Jul
Sutton
1 : 1
Walton & Hersham
18 Jul
Sutton
1 : 2
AFC Wimbledon
Page 1 of 6

Truro

(Away)
25 Jul
Truro
0 : 1
Plymouth
18 Jul
Truro
1 : 0
Exeter
25 Apr
Aldershot
0 : 2
Truro
18 Apr
Truro
0 : 1
Carlisle
11 Apr
Boston United
1 : 0
Truro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1York City463394114:41108
2Rochdale46337688:41106
3Carlisle46298987:5195
4Boreham Wood462791095:5890
5Scunthorpe4623131077:6282
6Southend4623121183:4781
7Forest Green4623121182:5281
8Halifax4620101669:6670
9Hartlepool4618141454:5968
10Woking4616151569:5463
11Tamworth4617111863:7162
12Boston United4615141763:6759
13Altrincham461762355:6557
14Solihull Moors4614141871:7256
15Wealdstone4615112067:7456
16Yeovil461562548:6851
17Eastleigh4613112257:8050
18Gateshead461482454:9050
19Sutton4611142159:7947
20Aldershot461372669:8746
21Brackley4610122440:7542
22Morecambe469112666:10338
23Braintree468122638:7636
24Truro468102842:7234
Promotion - League Two (Main)
Promotion - National League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)