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Sutton vs Wealdstone - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League VBS Community Stadium, London
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Obiero M.
33'
Sub
Conroy D. In: Barrett M.
Out: Conroy D.
45'
Taylor J.

AI Match Summary

The National League game between Sutton and Wealdstone finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wealdstone.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Sutton
35%
Draws
26%
Wealdstone
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sutton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Wealdstone carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Sutton Clean Sheet 10%
Wealdstone Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sutton Wealdstone
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.23 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 National League
Sutton vs Wealdstone
0:2
Feb 21, 2026 National League
Sutton vs Wealdstone
3:0
Oct 25, 2025 National League
Wealdstone vs Sutton
4:2
Jan 15, 2025 National League
Sutton vs Wealdstone
2:2
Aug 20, 2024 National League
Wealdstone vs Sutton
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sutton Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Wealdstone Compare

Top Goalscorer Obiero M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sutton 34 / 100
Wealdstone 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sutton Wealdstone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wealdstone Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:5
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Sutton's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Wealdstone's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Sutton stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sutton VS Wealdstone
0.88 Goals Scored 2.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sutton

(Home)
03 Oct
Kidderminster
1 : 1
Sutton
30 Sept
Tamworth
2 : 0
Sutton
26 Sept
Sutton
3 : 3
Forest Green
19 Sept
Halifax
1 : 1
Sutton
15 Sept
Sutton
2 : 1
Eastleigh
Page 1 of 6

Wealdstone

(Away)
03 Oct
Barrow
2 : 1
Wealdstone
29 Sept
Forest Green
1 : 1
Wealdstone
26 Sept
Wealdstone
4 : 0
Gateshead
19 Sept
Tamworth
2 : 1
Wealdstone
15 Sept
Wealdstone
0 : 1
Halifax
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 12 10 2 0 32:13 32
2 Harrogate 12 8 1 3 28:17 25
3 Southend 12 7 3 2 29:18 24
4 Yeovil 12 6 4 2 26:15 22
5 Worthing FC 12 6 3 3 22:18 21
6 Altrincham 12 7 0 5 17:18 21
7 AFC Fylde 12 6 2 4 22:18 20
8 Kidderminster 12 5 4 3 15:12 19
9 Barrow 12 5 3 4 20:15 18
10 Aldershot 12 5 3 4 17:13 18
11 Sutton 12 5 3 4 14:16 18
12 Hornchurch 12 6 0 6 13:19 18
13 Halifax 12 5 2 5 18:14 17
14 Carlisle 12 4 4 4 23:20 16
15 Woking 12 4 3 5 20:19 15
16 Forest Green 11 4 3 4 17:18 15
17 Eastleigh 12 4 3 5 14:18 15
18 Tamworth 12 4 2 6 20:28 14
19 Wealdstone 12 3 3 6 17:18 12
20 Boston United 12 3 3 6 14:21 12
21 Scunthorpe 11 3 1 7 15:19 10
22 Hartlepool 12 3 0 9 8:17 9
23 Solihull Moors 12 2 1 9 13:30 7
24 Gateshead 12 1 1 10 7:27 4
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
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