Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Suva vs Lupe ole Soaga

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2023 Luganville Soccer City Stadium, Luganville
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Soromon A.
35' Event
Saniel A.
40'
Letutusa L.

AI Match Summary

Suva in this OFC Champions League 2023 matchup, with the score ending 6-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Suva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Suva
15%
Draws
39%
Lupe ole Soaga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Suva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Lupe ole Soaga have won more games recently than Suva.
  • Lupe ole Soaga are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this OFC Champions League 2023 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Suva Clean Sheet 20%
Lupe ole Soaga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Suva Lupe ole Soaga
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 11 3
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.84 2.83
Goals Conceded 1.29 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2023 OFC Champions League
Suva vs Lupe ole Soaga
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Suva Compare

Top Goalscorer Matarerega R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Soromon A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Lupe ole Soaga Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Suva 10 / 100
Lupe ole Soaga 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Suva Lupe ole Soaga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lupe ole Soaga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Suva scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Lupe ole Soaga's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Suva went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Suva VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Suva

(Home)
16 Aug
Suva
7 : 0
Nadroga
09 Aug
Suva
3 : 2
Nasinu
02 Aug
Rewa
4 : 0
Suva
26 Jul
Suva
2 : 3
Tailevu Naitasiri
18 Jul
Labasa
2 : 2
Suva
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Lupe ole Soaga

(Away)
20 May
Lupe ole Soaga
0 : 3
Auckland City
17 May
Solomon Warriors
3 : 1
Lupe ole Soaga
14 May
Suva
6 : 0
Lupe ole Soaga
24 Feb
Lupe ole Soaga
7 : 1
Tupapa
21 Feb
Lupe ole Soaga
9 : 0
Veitongo
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland City 3 3 0 0 9:2 9
2 Suva 3 2 0 1 9:3 6
3 Solomon Warriors 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
4 Lupe ole Soaga 3 0 0 3 1:12 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2023 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pirae 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
2 Ifira Blackbird 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
3 PNG Hekari 3 1 0 2 3:3 3
4 Tiga Sport 3 1 0 2 1:4 3
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2023 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)