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Suva vs Navua

Fiji Fiji

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Lavecake M.
39' Event
Kubu S.
66' Event
Faizal A.

AI Match Summary

Suva in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Suva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Suva
15%
Draws
48%
Navua
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Navua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Navua have won more games recently than Suva.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Navua taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Suva Clean Sheet 10%
Navua Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Suva Navua
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 11 6
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.7 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Premier League
Navua vs Suva
2:2
Mar 8, 2026 Premier League
Suva vs Navua
3:0
Jun 14, 2025 Premier League
Suva vs Navua
0:1
May 18, 2025 Premier League
Navua vs Suva
1:2
Aug 25, 2024 Premier League
Navua vs Suva
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Suva Compare

Top Goalscorer Lavecake M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kubu S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Navua Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Suva 26 / 100
Navua 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Suva Navua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Navua Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Suva scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Navua let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Suva remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Suva VS Navua
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Suva

(Home)
16 Aug
Suva
7 : 0
Nadroga
09 Aug
Suva
3 : 2
Nasinu
02 Aug
Rewa
4 : 0
Suva
26 Jul
Suva
2 : 3
Tailevu Naitasiri
18 Jul
Labasa
2 : 2
Suva
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Navua

(Away)
23 Aug
Rewa
0 : 1
Navua
15 Aug
Nasinu
0 : 2
Navua
02 Aug
Tailevu Naitasiri
2 : 7
Navua
26 Jul
Navua
0 : 1
Labasa
19 Jul
Ba
1 : 0
Navua
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ba 18 13 3 2 54:14 42
2 Labasa 18 11 5 2 44:21 38
3 Rewa 18 10 2 6 39:17 32
4 Lautoka 18 7 5 6 37:35 26
5 Navua 18 7 4 7 25:23 25
6 Suva 18 6 5 7 38:28 23
7 Nadi 18 6 3 9 25:29 21
8 Nasinu 18 6 3 9 27:42 21
9 Nadroga 18 3 4 11 22:50 13
10 Tailevu Naitasiri 18 2 4 12 20:72 10
Promotion - OFC Champions League (Preliminary)