Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 Stadion Miejski w Suwałkach, Suwałki

Suwalki

1 - 1

GKS Belchatow

Our Tip

Match Events

82'

Kosciuk W.

90'

Modzelewski P.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 game between Suwalki and GKS Belchatow finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Suwalki

Draws

GKS Belchatow

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Suwalki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Suwalki carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans Suwalki's way, sitting at 90%.
Regular III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%

Suwalki Clean Sheet 20%

GKS Belchatow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Suwalki	GKS Belchatow
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	18	7
Draws	4	6
Losses	8	16
Goals Scored	2	1
Goals Conceded	1	2.63
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 III Liga - Group I

Suwalki vs GKS Belchatow

1:1

Oct 4, 2025 III Liga - Group I

GKS Belchatow vs Suwalki

0:0

Mar 8, 2025 III Liga - Group I

GKS Belchatow vs Suwalki

2:2

Aug 17, 2024 III Liga - Group I

Suwalki vs GKS Belchatow

1:0

Apr 30, 2022 Division 2

GKS Belchatow vs Suwalki

0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Suwalki Compare

Top Goalscorer Modzelewski P.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 1

GKS Belchatow Compare

Top Goalscorer Kosciuk W.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Suwalki 85 / 100

GKS Belchatow 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Suwalki GKS Belchatow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WIG Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Suwalki scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: GKS Belchatow conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Suwalki went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Suwalki VS GKS Belchatow

2 Goals Scored 1

1 Goals Conceded 2.63

88% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 75%

38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Suwalki

(Home)

17 Jul

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

0 : 2

Suwalki

30 May

Suwalki

3 : 2

Swit Mazowiecki

22 May

Warta Sieradz

2 : 1

Suwalki

16 May

Wasilkow

0 : 3

Suwalki

13 May

Olimpia Elblag

1 : 3

Suwalki

Page 1 of 6

GKS Belchatow

(Away)

22 Jul

GKS Belchatow

4 : 4

RKS Rakow Czestochowa II

18 Jul

GKS Belchatow

4 : 1

Tluchowo

11 Jul

GKS Belchatow

1 : 2

Polonia Nysa

30 May

Plock II

4 : 1

GKS Belchatow

23 May

GKS Belchatow

1 : 2

Jagiellonia II

Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Legia II	34	27	3	4	82:29	84
2	LKS Lomza	34	22	5	7	77:31	71
3	Warta Sieradz	34	21	8	5	64:34	71
4	Suwalki	34	20	5	9	64:43	65
5	Troszyn	34	17	6	11	75:47	57
6	Plock II	34	16	8	10	56:51	56
7	Widzew Lodz II	34	17	3	14	70:64	54
8	Jagiellonia II	34	14	7	13	46:45	49
9	Tomaszow Mazowiecki	34	13	8	13	64:55	47
10	Zabkovia Zabki	34	13	5	16	72:64	44
11	Swit Mazowiecki	34	12	5	17	51:66	41
12	MKS Mlawa	34	11	7	16	55:59	40
13	Olimpia Elblag	34	10	8	16	45:61	38
14	GKS Wikielec	34	10	7	17	40:54	37
15	Bron Radom	34	9	9	16	40:57	36
16	GKS Belchatow	34	9	7	18	50:76	34
17	Wasilkow	34	7	4	23	40:79	25
18	Znicz Biala Piska	34	4	3	27	27:103	15

Promotion - Division 2 (Main)

Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)