Sport Picks
Suwalki vs GKS Belchatow
Poland
III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 Stadion Miejski w Suwałkach, Suwałki 
Match Events
82'
82'
Kosciuk W.
90'
90'
Modzelewski P.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 game between Suwalki and GKS Belchatow finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
30%
41%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: GKS Belchatow
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Suwalki carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans GKS Belchatow's way, sitting at 60%.
- Regular III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Suwalki Clean Sheet 20%
GKS Belchatow Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Suwalki | GKS Belchatow |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.69 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 2.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Suwalki vs GKS Belchatow
1:1
Oct 4, 2025 III Liga - Group I
GKS Belchatow vs Suwalki
0:0
Mar 8, 2025 III Liga - Group I
GKS Belchatow vs Suwalki
2:2
Aug 17, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Suwalki vs GKS Belchatow
1:0
Apr 30, 2022 Division 2
GKS Belchatow vs Suwalki
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Suwalki Compare
Top Goalscorer Modzelewski P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
GKS Belchatow Compare
Top Goalscorer Kosciuk W.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Suwalki 20 / 100
GKS Belchatow 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Suwalki GKS Belchatow
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick GKS Belchatow Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Suwalki scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: GKS Belchatow conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Suwalki went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Suwalki VS GKS Belchatow
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Suwalki
(Home) 12 Sept
Olimpia Zambrow
1 : 1 Suwalki
06 Sept
Suwalki
1 : 3 Lidzbark Warmimski
01 Sept
Suwalki
1 : 5 Termalica Bruk-Bet
29 Aug
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 3 Suwalki
23 Aug
Suwalki
0 : 0 Swit Mazowiecki
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06 Sept
Suwalki
1 : 3 Lidzbark Warmimski
01 Sept
Suwalki
1 : 5 Termalica Bruk-Bet
23 Aug
Suwalki
0 : 0 Swit Mazowiecki
14 Aug
Suwalki
1 : 0 Troszyn
02 Aug
Suwalki
2 : 0 LKS Lodz II
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GKS Belchatow
(Away) 31 Jul
GKS Belchatow
3 : 2 Gornik Konin
22 Jul
GKS Belchatow
4 : 4 RKS Rakow Czestochowa II
18 Jul
GKS Belchatow
4 : 1 Tluchowo
11 Jul
GKS Belchatow
1 : 2 Polonia Nysa
30 May
Plock II
4 : 1 GKS Belchatow
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30 May
Plock II
4 : 1 GKS Belchatow
16 May
LKS Lomza
5 : 0 GKS Belchatow
08 May
GKS Wikielec
0 : 1 GKS Belchatow
26 Apr
Suwalki
1 : 1 GKS Belchatow
12 Apr
Wasilkow
3 : 1 GKS Belchatow
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Legia II | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 82:29 | 84 |
| 2 | LKS Lomza | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 77:31 | 71 |
| 3 | Warta Sieradz | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 64:34 | 71 |
| 4 | Suwalki | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 64:43 | 65 |
| 5 | Troszyn | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 75:47 | 57 |
| 6 | Plock II | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 56:51 | 56 |
| 7 | Widzew Lodz II | 34 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 70:64 | 54 |
| 8 | Jagiellonia II | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 46:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 64:55 | 47 |
| 10 | Zabkovia Zabki | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 72:64 | 44 |
| 11 | Swit Mazowiecki | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 51:66 | 41 |
| 12 | MKS Mlawa | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 55:59 | 40 |
| 13 | Olimpia Elblag | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 45:61 | 38 |
| 14 | GKS Wikielec | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 40:54 | 37 |
| 15 | Bron Radom | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 40:57 | 36 |
| 16 | GKS Belchatow | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 50:76 | 34 |
| 17 | Wasilkow | 34 | 7 | 4 | 23 | 40:79 | 25 |
| 18 | Znicz Biala Piska | 34 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 27:103 | 15 |
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
