Sport Picks
Suwalki vs Swit Mazowiecki
Poland
III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 Stadion Miejski w Suwałkach, Suwałki 
Match Events
3'
3'
Machala M.
14'
14'
Kwiatkowski J.
49'
49'
Witek J.
AI Match Summary
Suwalki in this III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Suwalki.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Suwalki
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Suwalki have won more games recently than Swit Mazowiecki.
- Suwalki are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Suwalki Clean Sheet 17%
Swit Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Suwalki | Swit Mazowiecki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 8 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Suwalki vs Swit Mazowiecki
0:0
May 30, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Suwalki vs Swit Mazowiecki
3:2
Nov 15, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Swit Mazowiecki vs Suwalki
2:3
Apr 18, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Suwalki vs Swit Mazowiecki
0:1
Sep 21, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Swit Mazowiecki vs Suwalki
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Suwalki Compare
Top Goalscorer Machala M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kwiatkowski J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Swit Mazowiecki Compare
Top Goalscorer Moscicki L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Jarzebski P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Suwalki 41 / 100
Swit Mazowiecki 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Suwalki Swit Mazowiecki
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Suwalki found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).
Swit Mazowiecki's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Suwalki has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Suwalki VS Swit Mazowiecki
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Suwalki
(Home) 12 Sept
Olimpia Zambrow
1 : 1 Suwalki
06 Sept
Suwalki
1 : 3 Lidzbark Warmimski
01 Sept
Suwalki
1 : 5 Termalica Bruk-Bet
29 Aug
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 3 Suwalki
23 Aug
Suwalki
0 : 0 Swit Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Suwalki
1 : 3 Lidzbark Warmimski
01 Sept
Suwalki
1 : 5 Termalica Bruk-Bet
23 Aug
Suwalki
0 : 0 Swit Mazowiecki
14 Aug
Suwalki
1 : 0 Troszyn
02 Aug
Suwalki
2 : 0 LKS Lodz II
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Swit Mazowiecki
(Away) 12 Sept
Swit Mazowiecki
0 : 1 KTS Weszlo
04 Sept
Pelikan
4 : 1 Swit Mazowiecki
29 Aug
Swit Mazowiecki
2 : 1 Warta Sieradz
23 Aug
Suwalki
0 : 0 Swit Mazowiecki
19 Aug
Swit Mazowiecki
1 : 2 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 6
04 Sept
Pelikan
4 : 1 Swit Mazowiecki
23 Aug
Suwalki
0 : 0 Swit Mazowiecki
15 Aug
Widzew Lodz II
0 : 0 Swit Mazowiecki
01 Aug
Lidzbark Warmimski
1 : 2 Swit Mazowiecki
15 Jul
Pelikan
2 : 1 Swit Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Legia II | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 82:29 | 84 |
| 2 | LKS Lomza | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 77:31 | 71 |
| 3 | Warta Sieradz | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 64:34 | 71 |
| 4 | Suwalki | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 64:43 | 65 |
| 5 | Troszyn | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 75:47 | 57 |
| 6 | Plock II | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 56:51 | 56 |
| 7 | Widzew Lodz II | 34 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 70:64 | 54 |
| 8 | Jagiellonia II | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 46:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 64:55 | 47 |
| 10 | Zabkovia Zabki | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 72:64 | 44 |
| 11 | Swit Mazowiecki | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 51:66 | 41 |
| 12 | MKS Mlawa | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 55:59 | 40 |
| 13 | Olimpia Elblag | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 45:61 | 38 |
| 14 | GKS Wikielec | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 40:54 | 37 |
| 15 | Bron Radom | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 40:57 | 36 |
| 16 | GKS Belchatow | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 50:76 | 34 |
| 17 | Wasilkow | 34 | 7 | 4 | 23 | 40:79 | 25 |
| 18 | Znicz Biala Piska | 34 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 27:103 | 15 |
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
