Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Suwalki vs Swit Mazowiecki

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I Stadion Miejski w Suwałkach, Suwałki
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this III Liga - Group I matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Suwalki
15%
Draws
48%
Swit Mazowiecki
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Swit Mazowiecki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Suwalki have won more games recently than Swit Mazowiecki.
  • Model gives Swit Mazowiecki a 48% chance of winning this.
  • Regular III Liga - Group I form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Suwalki Clean Sheet 17%
Swit Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Suwalki Swit Mazowiecki
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.79 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Suwalki vs Swit Mazowiecki
0:0
May 30, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Suwalki vs Swit Mazowiecki
3:2
Nov 15, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Swit Mazowiecki vs Suwalki
2:3
Apr 18, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Suwalki vs Swit Mazowiecki
0:1
Sep 21, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Swit Mazowiecki vs Suwalki
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Suwalki 28 / 100
Swit Mazowiecki 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Suwalki Swit Mazowiecki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Swit Mazowiecki Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Suwalki's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Swit Mazowiecki has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Suwalki remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Suwalki VS Swit Mazowiecki
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Suwalki

(Home)
20 Sept
Suwalki
6 : 3
Widzew Lodz II
12 Sept
Olimpia Zambrow
1 : 1
Suwalki
06 Sept
Suwalki
1 : 3
Lidzbark Warmimski
01 Sept
Suwalki
1 : 5
Termalica Bruk-Bet
29 Aug
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 3
Suwalki
Page 1 of 6

Swit Mazowiecki

(Away)
25 Sept
Swit Mazowiecki
4 : 0
LKS Lomza
18 Sept
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 2
Swit Mazowiecki
12 Sept
Swit Mazowiecki
0 : 1
KTS Weszlo
04 Sept
Pelikan
4 : 1
Swit Mazowiecki
29 Aug
Swit Mazowiecki
2 : 1
Warta Sieradz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTS Weszlo 9 8 1 0 22:6 25
2 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 9 6 2 1 26:15 20
3 Plock II 10 5 3 2 22:17 18
4 Swit Mazowiecki 10 5 2 3 16:10 17
5 Zabkovia Zabki 10 5 1 4 19:18 16
6 Suwalki 9 4 4 1 16:10 16
7 Pelikan 9 5 1 3 13:11 16
8 Jagiellonia II 10 4 3 3 22:20 15
9 Warta Sieradz 9 4 2 3 17:15 14
10 Widzew Lodz II 9 4 1 4 20:17 13
11 Olimpia Zambrow 9 3 2 4 19:23 11
12 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 9 3 1 5 18:20 10
13 LKS Lodz II 9 3 1 5 15:18 10
14 Olimpia Elblag 9 3 1 5 13:18 10
15 MKS Mlawa 10 3 1 6 20:28 10
16 Troszyn 9 1 3 5 11:23 6
17 Lidzbark Warmimski 9 1 2 6 13:20 5
18 LKS Lomza 10 0 3 7 10:23 3
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)