Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Suwalki vs Victoria Sulejowek - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2024/2025 Stadion Miejski w Suwałkach, Suwałki
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Lutostanski J.
26' Event
Zaklika K.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I 2024/2025 game between Suwalki and Victoria Sulejowek finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Suwalki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Suwalki
15%
Draws
40%
Victoria Sulejowek
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Suwalki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Suwalki carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Suwalki's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Suwalki Clean Sheet 20%
Victoria Sulejowek Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Suwalki Victoria Sulejowek
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.81 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Suwalki vs Victoria Sulejowek
2:0
Oct 5, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Victoria Sulejowek vs Suwalki
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Suwalki Compare

Top Goalscorer Lutostanski J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zaklika K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

Victoria Sulejowek Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Suwalki 36 / 100
Victoria Sulejowek 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Suwalki Victoria Sulejowek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Suwalki's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Victoria Sulejowek has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Suwalki remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Suwalki VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Suwalki

(Home)
03 Oct
Suwalki
1 : 0
Plock II
26 Sept
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
0 : 2
Suwalki
20 Sept
Suwalki
6 : 3
Widzew Lodz II
12 Sept
Olimpia Zambrow
1 : 1
Suwalki
06 Sept
Suwalki
1 : 3
Lidzbark Warmimski
Page 1 of 7

Victoria Sulejowek

(Away)
07 Jun
Swit Mazowiecki
2 : 3
Victoria Sulejowek
31 May
Victoria Sulejowek
1 : 0
Pelikan
24 May
Stomil Olsztyn
2 : 1
Victoria Sulejowek
21 May
Victoria Sulejowek
4 : 0
Lidzbark Warmimski
17 May
Legia II
3 : 1
Victoria Sulejowek
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Unia Skierniewice 34 23 5 6 81:30 74
2 Legia II 34 21 7 6 75:39 70
3 LKS Lomza 34 18 10 6 68:38 64
4 Warta Sieradz 34 16 7 11 46:42 55
5 Suwalki 34 13 9 12 46:38 48
6 Jagiellonia II 34 13 8 13 54:49 47
7 Swit Mazowiecki 34 13 8 13 47:58 47
8 GKS Belchatow 34 12 10 12 52:52 46
9 Bron Radom 34 12 10 12 40:48 46
10 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 34 13 7 14 57:64 46
11 MKS Mlawa 34 12 8 14 67:62 44
12 Plock II 34 11 10 13 54:58 43
13 GKS Wikielec 34 10 12 12 39:45 42
14 Stomil Olsztyn 34 11 9 14 44:56 42
15 Victoria Sulejowek 34 11 8 15 52:59 41
16 Lidzbark Warmimski 34 9 14 11 46:60 41
17 Pelikan 34 9 6 19 34:58 33
18 Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz 34 2 6 26 26:72 12
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)