Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Suwalki vs Wasilkow

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 Stadion Miejski w Suwałkach, Suwałki
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Guzdek B.
24' Event
Guzdek B.
35' Event
Magnuszewski K.

AI Match Summary

Suwalki in this III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Suwalki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Suwalki
6%
Draws
4%
Wasilkow
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Suwalki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Suwalki have won more games recently than Wasilkow.
  • Model gives Suwalki a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Suwalki have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Suwalki Clean Sheet 20%
Wasilkow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Suwalki Wasilkow
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 6
Draws 4 4
Losses 8 20
Goals Scored 1.88 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.63 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Wasilkow vs Suwalki
0:3
Oct 30, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Suwalki vs Wasilkow
4:1
Feb 15, 2025 Club Friendly
Suwalki vs Wasilkow
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Suwalki Compare

Top Goalscorer Guzdek B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Magnuszewski K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Wasilkow Compare

Top Goalscorer Vatkevich A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Suwalki 85 / 100
Wasilkow 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Suwalki Wasilkow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WIG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Suwalki scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Wasilkow let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Suwalki went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Suwalki VS Wasilkow
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Suwalki

(Home)
17 Jul
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
0 : 2
Suwalki
30 May
Suwalki
3 : 2
Swit Mazowiecki
22 May
Warta Sieradz
2 : 1
Suwalki
16 May
Wasilkow
0 : 3
Suwalki
13 May
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 3
Suwalki
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Wasilkow

(Away)
30 May
Jagiellonia II
1 : 1
Wasilkow
23 May
Wasilkow
1 : 4
Bron Radom
16 May
Wasilkow
0 : 3
Suwalki
13 May
Wasilkow
3 : 3
Znicz Biala Piska
09 May
Wasilkow
0 : 3
Warta Sieradz
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Legia II34273482:2984
2LKS Lomza34225777:3171
3Warta Sieradz34218564:3471
4Suwalki34205964:4365
5Troszyn341761175:4757
6Plock II341681056:5156
7Widzew Lodz II341731470:6454
8Jagiellonia II341471346:4549
9Tomaszow Mazowiecki341381364:5547
10Zabkovia Zabki341351672:6444
11Swit Mazowiecki341251751:6641
12MKS Mlawa341171655:5940
13Olimpia Elblag341081645:6138
14GKS Wikielec341071740:5437
15Bron Radom34991640:5736
16GKS Belchatow34971850:7634
17Wasilkow34742340:7925
18Znicz Biala Piska34432727:10315
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)