Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Suwalki vs Wasilkow

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 Stadion Miejski w Suwałkach, Suwałki
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Guzdek B.
24' Event
Guzdek B.
35' Event
Magnuszewski K.

AI Match Summary

Suwalki in this III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Suwalki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Suwalki
30%
Draws
16%
Wasilkow
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Suwalki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Suwalki have won more games recently than Wasilkow.
  • Model gives Suwalki a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Regular III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Suwalki have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Suwalki Clean Sheet 20%
Wasilkow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Suwalki Wasilkow
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 18 6
Draws 6 4
Losses 8 20
Goals Scored 1.94 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.34 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Wasilkow vs Suwalki
0:3
Oct 30, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Suwalki vs Wasilkow
4:1
Feb 15, 2025 Club Friendly
Suwalki vs Wasilkow
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Suwalki Compare

Top Goalscorer Guzdek B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Magnuszewski K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Wasilkow Compare

Top Goalscorer Vatkevich A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Suwalki 67 / 100
Wasilkow 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Suwalki Wasilkow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Suwalki Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Suwalki scored in 88% of their last 32 outings.

Wasilkow let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Suwalki went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Suwalki VS Wasilkow
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Suwalki

(Home)
20 Sept
Suwalki
6 : 3
Widzew Lodz II
12 Sept
Olimpia Zambrow
1 : 1
Suwalki
06 Sept
Suwalki
1 : 3
Lidzbark Warmimski
01 Sept
Suwalki
1 : 5
Termalica Bruk-Bet
29 Aug
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 3
Suwalki
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Wasilkow

(Away)
30 May
Jagiellonia II
1 : 1
Wasilkow
23 May
Wasilkow
1 : 4
Bron Radom
16 May
Wasilkow
0 : 3
Suwalki
13 May
Wasilkow
3 : 3
Znicz Biala Piska
09 May
Wasilkow
0 : 3
Warta Sieradz
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Legia II 34 27 3 4 82:29 84
2 LKS Lomza 34 22 5 7 77:31 71
3 Warta Sieradz 34 21 8 5 64:34 71
4 Suwalki 34 20 5 9 64:43 65
5 Troszyn 34 17 6 11 75:47 57
6 Plock II 34 16 8 10 56:51 56
7 Widzew Lodz II 34 17 3 14 70:64 54
8 Jagiellonia II 34 14 7 13 46:45 49
9 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 34 13 8 13 64:55 47
10 Zabkovia Zabki 34 13 5 16 72:64 44
11 Swit Mazowiecki 34 12 5 17 51:66 41
12 MKS Mlawa 34 11 7 16 55:59 40
13 Olimpia Elblag 34 10 8 16 45:61 38
14 GKS Wikielec 34 10 7 17 40:54 37
15 Bron Radom 34 9 9 16 40:57 36
16 GKS Belchatow 34 9 7 18 50:76 34
17 Wasilkow 34 7 4 23 40:79 25
18 Znicz Biala Piska 34 4 3 27 27:103 15
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)