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Suwon FC vs Jeonnam

South Korea South Korea

K League 2 Suwon Sports Complex
Fri, Jul 10, 2026
VS
10:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This looks like a tight matchup. Neither side is clearly dominant, with Suwon FC averaging 1.5 xG at home and Jeonnam producing 1.1 xG on their travels. Jeonnam will likely drop deep and defend, forcing Suwon FC to find a way to break them down. History suggests plenty of goals when these two play. Over 2.5 goals seems highly likely based on recent attacking form. Everything points to a very close contest where a draw wouldn't surprise anyone.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Suwon FC
30%
Draws
32%
Jeonnam
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Suwon FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Suwon FC picked up more points recently compared to Jeonnam.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66%
Suwon FC Clean Sheet 21%
Jeonnam Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Suwon FC Jeonnam
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 7
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.5 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40
Possession % 53.5% 46.5%
Shots per Match 13.8 11.2
Shots on Target 4.8 3.6
Corners per Match 5.6 4.4
Yellow/Red Cards 1.8 2.2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

14.04.21 Korean Cup
Suwon FC vs Jeonnam
1:2
18.10.20 K League 2
Suwon FC vs Jeonnam
3:4
28.09.20 K League 2
Jeonnam vs Suwon FC
0:0
06.09.20 K League 2
Suwon FC vs Jeonnam
2:2
28.06.20 K League 2
Jeonnam vs Suwon FC
1:2

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Suwon FC

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Strengths
  • Dangerous on corners
  • Overlap on the wings
  • Quick counters
Weaknesses
  • Vulnerable to counters
  • Weak in the air

Jeonnam

Pressing Intensity Passive low block (PPDA > 14)
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Strengths
  • Quick recovery
  • Solid midfield screen
  • Quick counters
Weaknesses
  • Fouling under pressure
  • Defending set pieces

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Suwon FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Key Forward
9 Goals
Assists Leader Midfield Maestro
7 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.92

Jeonnam Compare

Top Goalscorer Key Forward
8 Goals
Assists Leader Midfield Maestro
6 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.82

Availability Alerts

Key Defender Jeonnam • Hamstring Injury
Out Rating: 8.5
Starting Midfielder Suwon FC • Ankle Sprain
Doubtful Rating: 6.8
Backup Goalkeeper Jeonnam • Muscle strain
Out Rating: 3.2
Star Striker Suwon FC • Returning to training
Returning Rating: 9.4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Suwon FC 38 / 100
Jeonnam 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Suwon FC Jeonnam

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Suwon FC or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Suwon FC will likely press early to force mistakes.

Suwon FC 59%
Jeonnam 37%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

Jeonnam should settle down and try to slow the pace.

Suwon FC 54%
Jeonnam 44%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

Both sides will look to break quickly before the half-time whistle.

Suwon FC 51%
Jeonnam 49%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Tactical adjustments will show. Expect Suwon FC to push more players wide.

Suwon FC 56%
Jeonnam 44%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

Players will tire. Fresh legs from the bench will spark quicker counter-attacks.

Suwon FC 51%
Jeonnam 49%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

Late drama. Teams will take major risks depending on the scoreline.

Suwon FC 62%
Jeonnam 53%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Suwon FC attacking → ← attacking Jeonnam

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Suwon FC have scored in 87% of their home games in the past 12 months.

Jeonnam concede most goals (45%) in the final 15 minutes of matches.

Meetings between these sides average 23 shots per game, well above the league median.

Suwon FC are unbeaten in 6 straight matches when scoring first.

Jeonnam have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 8 matches.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Both played three matches in ten days, so managers might rotate players.

Risk Factor

Incentive: Suwon FC wants a European spot, while Jeonnam is battling relegation.

Risk Factor

Cards: Historically tense game, a red card could change the whole setup.

Public Accuracy Dashboard

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Overall Accuracy 78.4%
BTTS Accuracy 73.1%
Over 2.5 Accuracy 75.6%
Correct Score Accuracy 18.9%
*All accuracy percentages are audited daily against official match logs.

Recent Predictions Log

Date Prediction Result Status
2026-07-05 Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 Lost
2026-07-01 Home Win (1) 2-0 Won
2026-06-27 Over 2.5 Goals 3-1 Won
2026-06-23 Home Win (1) 1-1 Lost
2026-06-19 Over 2.5 Goals 3-1 Won
2026-06-15 Home Win (1) 2-0 Won
2026-06-11 Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 Lost
2026-06-07 Home Win (1) 2-0 Won

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 28
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.10 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.40
53.5% Ball possession % 46.5%
13.8 Shots per game 11.2
4.8 Shots on target 3.6
5.6 Corners per game 4.4
1.8 Cards per game 2.2