Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
SV Erlbach in this Oberliga Bayern Süd matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored SV Erlbach.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- SV Erlbach have won more games recently than Kottern-St. Mang.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on SV Erlbach taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
SV Erlbach Clean Sheet 20%
Kottern-St. Mang Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | SV Erlbach | Kottern-St. Mang |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 11, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Süd
SV Erlbach vs Kottern-St. Mang
3:0
Apr 21, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Kottern-St. Mang vs SV Erlbach
2:0
Aug 8, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Süd
SV Erlbach vs Kottern-St. Mang
0:0
Mar 8, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Kottern-St. Mang vs SV Erlbach
0:0
Aug 16, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Süd
SV Erlbach vs Kottern-St. Mang
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
SV Erlbach 85 / 100
Kottern-St. Mang 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
SV Erlbach Kottern-St. Mang
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SV Erlbach Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
SV Erlbach scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Kottern-St. Mang has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Recent resilience: SV Erlbach stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
SV Erlbach VS Kottern-St. Mang
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
SV Erlbach
(Home) 25 Sept
SV Erlbach
1 : 1 Pipinsried
18 Sept
Munich 1860 II
0 : 1 SV Erlbach
11 Sept
SV Erlbach
3 : 0 Kottern-St. Mang
04 Sept
TSV 1860 Rosenheim
1 : 0 SV Erlbach
28 Aug
SV Erlbach
2 : 0 Ismaning
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
SV Erlbach
1 : 1 Pipinsried
11 Sept
SV Erlbach
3 : 0 Kottern-St. Mang
28 Aug
SV Erlbach
2 : 0 Ismaning
14 Aug
SV Erlbach
1 : 1 Gundelfingen
31 Jul
SV Erlbach
1 : 0 Deisenhofen
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Kottern-St. Mang
(Away) 25 Sept
TSV 1860 Rosenheim
1 : 3 Kottern-St. Mang
19 Sept
Kottern-St. Mang
1 : 0 Ismaning
11 Sept
SV Erlbach
3 : 0 Kottern-St. Mang
05 Sept
Kottern-St. Mang
2 : 1 Kirchanschoring
29 Aug
Gundelfingen
1 : 1 Kottern-St. Mang
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25 Sept
TSV 1860 Rosenheim
1 : 3 Kottern-St. Mang
11 Sept
SV Erlbach
3 : 0 Kottern-St. Mang
29 Aug
Gundelfingen
1 : 1 Kottern-St. Mang
18 Aug
Deisenhofen
0 : 0 Kottern-St. Mang
08 Aug
Hankofen-Hailing
2 : 1 Kottern-St. Mang
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pipinsried | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 35:16 | 26 |
| 2 | Landshut | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25:12 | 25 |
| 3 | SV Erlbach | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 15:6 | 22 |
| 4 | TSV 1880 Wasserburg | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 27:19 | 22 |
| 5 | Pfaffenhofen | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20:20 | 20 |
| 6 | FC Schwaig | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 25:15 | 19 |
| 7 | Hankofen-Hailing | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 21:16 | 19 |
| 8 | Ismaning | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 25:17 | 17 |
| 9 | Heimstetten | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 23:24 | 16 |
| 10 | Gundelfingen | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 16:19 | 15 |
| 11 | Kottern-St. Mang | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | 14 |
| 12 | Munich 1860 II | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 24:27 | 13 |
| 13 | Deisenhofen | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 17:24 | 13 |
| 14 | TSV 1860 Rosenheim | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 17:20 | 11 |
| 15 | TSV Schwabmunchen | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 23:26 | 10 |
| 16 | Schalding | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15:34 | 10 |
| 17 | Kirchanschoring | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 15:28 | 9 |
| 18 | Geretsried | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11:25 | 9 |
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord (Relegation)
