Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SV Mettlach vs Elversberg II

Germany Germany

Oberliga Sudwest 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Sudwest 2008/2009 game between SV Mettlach and Elversberg II finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Elversberg II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
SV Mettlach
44%
Draws
20%
Elversberg II
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Elversberg II come out ahead of SV Mettlach on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Oberliga Sudwest 2008/2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
SV Mettlach Clean Sheet 15%
Elversberg II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SV Mettlach Elversberg II
Matches Played 30 42
Wins 3 12
Draws 4 6
Losses 23 24
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 2 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2009 Oberliga Sudwest
SV Mettlach vs Elversberg II
1:5
Nov 16, 2008 Oberliga Sudwest
Elversberg II vs SV Mettlach
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SV Mettlach 35 / 100
Elversberg II 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SV Mettlach Elversberg II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ELV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elversberg II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 42 matches.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Elversberg II has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

SV Mettlach found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

SV Mettlach VS Elversberg II
1 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

SV Mettlach

(Home)
19 Jul
SV Mettlach
1 : 2
Saarbrucken
13 Jul
SV Mettlach
1 : 10
Saarbrucken
18 Jul
SV Mettlach
0 : 0
Rochling
28 Jun
SV Mettlach
4 : 1
Diefflen
01 Jul
SV Mettlach
0 : 2
Eintracht Trier
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Elversberg II

(Away)
31 Jan
Victoria Rosport
3 : 1
Elversberg II
26 May
Elversberg II
0 : 4
Kirchberg
20 May
Ahrweiler
3 : 1
Elversberg II
14 May
Elversberg II
1 : 1
SG 2000 Mulheim-Karlich
06 May
Waldalgesheim
4 : 2
Elversberg II
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