Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SV Poortugaal vs Gemert - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gemert in this Derde Divisie matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gemert.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
SV Poortugaal
15%
Draws
65%
Gemert
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gemert

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Gemert have won more games recently than SV Poortugaal.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on SV Poortugaal taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
SV Poortugaal Clean Sheet 12%
Gemert Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SV Poortugaal Gemert
Matches Played 16 29
Wins 4 12
Draws 2 10
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.31 2.07
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Derde Divisie
SV Poortugaal vs Gemert
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SV Poortugaal 40 / 100
Gemert 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SV Poortugaal Gemert

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gemert has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

SV Poortugaal scored in 69% of their last 16 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

SV Poortugaal has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

SV Poortugaal VS Gemert
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

SV Poortugaal

(Home)
03 Oct
Dongen
4 : 0
SV Poortugaal
26 Sept
SV Poortugaal
0 : 3
GOES
19 Sept
Rijnvogels
1 : 0
SV Poortugaal
12 Sept
SV Poortugaal
1 : 2
Gemert
05 Sept
EVV
0 : 1
SV Poortugaal
Page 1 of 4

Gemert

(Away)
04 Oct
Gemert
0 : 2
Lisse
27 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 2
Gemert
23 Sept
IJsselmeervogels
0 : 3
Gemert
20 Sept
Gemert
1 : 1
RKSV UDI 19
12 Sept
SV Poortugaal
1 : 2
Gemert
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excelsior 31 8 6 1 1 22:6 19
2 ACV Assen 8 6 1 1 21:8 19
3 VV Scherpenzeel 8 6 1 1 15:9 19
4 Genemuiden 8 6 0 2 19:9 18
5 Harkemase Boys 8 5 2 1 15:11 17
6 TEC 8 5 1 2 27:16 16
7 Sportlust 8 4 3 1 16:13 15
8 Sparta Nijkerk 8 4 2 2 22:16 14
9 Purmersteijn 8 4 2 2 15:11 14
10 VV Hoogeveen 8 4 1 3 22:17 13
11 ADO 20 Heemskerk 8 3 1 4 15:18 10
12 USV Hercules 8 3 0 5 12:20 9
13 DVS '33 Ermelo 8 1 2 5 10:15 5
14 VV DOVO 8 1 2 5 9:19 5
15 Eemdijk 7 1 0 6 9:26 3
16 Staphorst 8 0 3 5 10:18 3
17 HVV Hollandia 7 0 1 6 13:23 1
18 SVZW Wierden 8 0 1 7 9:26 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rijnvogels 8 6 2 0 25:7 20
2 VV Noordwijk 8 6 1 1 15:2 19
3 Lisse 8 6 1 1 14:6 19
4 Excelsior Maassluis 8 5 2 1 16:7 17
5 RKSV UDI 19 8 4 2 2 14:9 14
6 GOES 8 4 2 2 16:17 14
7 Dongen 8 4 1 3 21:17 13
8 VV Zwaluwen 8 4 1 3 7:10 13
9 Gemert 8 2 4 2 12:13 10
10 Blauw Geel 8 2 3 3 11:11 9
11 Roosendaal 8 3 0 5 13:16 9
12 SV Poortugaal 8 3 0 5 8:13 9
13 UNA 8 1 5 2 12:13 8
14 TOGB 8 2 2 4 13:18 8
15 VVSB 8 2 1 5 10:16 7
16 Groene Ster 8 1 3 4 12:20 6
17 Achilles Veen 8 1 0 7 7:20 3
18 EVV 8 0 2 6 8:19 2
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)