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SV Spexard vs TuS Dornberg

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Kuck D.
(Penalty)
77' Event
Drucker L.
81' Event
Drucker M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between SV Spexard and TuS Dornberg finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SV Spexard.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
SV Spexard
22%
Draws
60%
TuS Dornberg
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: TuS Dornberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • TuS Dornberg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • TuS Dornberg are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
SV Spexard Clean Sheet 10%
TuS Dornberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SV Spexard TuS Dornberg
Matches Played 6 30
Wins 2 3
Draws 1 5
Losses 3 22
Goals Scored 1.57 0.75
Goals Conceded 4.29 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.57 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.29 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2025 Club Friendly
SV Spexard vs TuS Dornberg
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SV Spexard Compare

Top Goalscorer Drucker M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Drucker L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.21
Avg xA / game 0.79

TuS Dornberg Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SV Spexard 18 / 100
TuS Dornberg 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SV Spexard TuS Dornberg

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TuS Dornberg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

SV Spexard has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

TuS Dornberg's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

SV Spexard VS TuS Dornberg
1.57 Goals Scored 0.75
4.29 Goals Conceded 1.88
71% Over 1.5 75%
71% Over 2.5 63%
71% Over 3.5 25%