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SV Tasmania Berlin vs SFC Stern 1900

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Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SV Tasmania Berlin play SFC Stern 1900 in the Club Friendly 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, SV Tasmania Berlin averaged 2.59 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. SFC Stern 1900 averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.88 conceded. In past meetings, SV Tasmania Berlin won 1, SFC Stern 1900 won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 23, 2023 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.85 for SV Tasmania Berlin and 1.00 for SFC Stern 1900. This points to a SV Tasmania Berlin double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
SV Tasmania Berlin
18%
Draws
28%
SFC Stern 1900
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: SV Tasmania Berlin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • SV Tasmania Berlin picked up more points recently compared to SFC Stern 1900.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.85 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
SV Tasmania Berlin Clean Sheet 23%
SFC Stern 1900 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 82%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SV Tasmania Berlin SFC Stern 1900
Matches Played 27 24
Wins 19 7
Draws 0 6
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 2.59 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2023 Club Friendly
SV Tasmania Berlin vs SFC Stern 1900
1:3
Mar 7, 2021 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
SFC Stern 1900 vs SV Tasmania Berlin
0:0
Sep 20, 2020 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
SV Tasmania Berlin vs SFC Stern 1900
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SV Tasmania Berlin Compare

Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

SFC Stern 1900 Compare

Top Goalscorer Vetter D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Simonowsky K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SV Tasmania Berlin 53 / 100
SFC Stern 1900 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SV Tasmania Berlin SFC Stern 1900

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SV Tasmania Berlin Win (1)
Secondary Pick SV Tasmania Berlin & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.2%
2.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.7%
1.59
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

SV Tasmania Berlin attacking → ← attacking SFC Stern 1900

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SV Tasmania Berlin scored in 85% of their last 27 games.

SFC Stern 1900 let in goals in 83% of their last 24 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

SV Tasmania Berlin went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

SFC Stern 1900 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

57 Points in last 5 27
2.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00