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Svaty Jur vs Slovan Most

Slovakia Slovakia

Divison C Bratislava 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Svaty Jur play Slovan Most in the Divison C Bratislava 2017/2018. It looks like a close match. Recently, Svaty Jur averaged 1.1 goals scored and 4 conceded. Slovan Most averaged 1.22 goals scored and 2.44 conceded. In past meetings, Svaty Jur won 1, Slovan Most won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 12, 2018 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.31 for Svaty Jur and 1.25 for Slovan Most. This points to a Slovan Most double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Svaty Jur
23%
Draws
44%
Slovan Most
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Slovan Most

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Svaty Jur picked up more points recently compared to Slovan Most.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.31 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Svaty Jur Clean Sheet 19%
Slovan Most Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Svaty Jur Slovan Most
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 4
Draws 1 9
Losses 24 19
Goals Scored 1.1 1.22
Goals Conceded 4 2.44
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2018 4. liga - Bratislava
Svaty Jur vs Slovan Most
2:2
Oct 8, 2017 4. liga - Bratislava
Slovan Most vs Svaty Jur
10:0
Apr 17, 2016 4. liga - Bratislava
Slovan Most vs Svaty Jur
0:2
Sep 12, 2015 4. liga - Bratislava
Svaty Jur vs Slovan Most
0:0
May 24, 2015 4. liga - Bratislava
Slovan Most vs Svaty Jur
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Svaty Jur 34 / 100
Slovan Most 42 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Svaty Jur Slovan Most

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Slovan Most or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.49
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Svaty Jur attacking → ← attacking Slovan Most

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Svaty Jur scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Slovan Most let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Svaty Jur went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Slovan Most lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

16 Points in last 5 21
4.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.63