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Svay Rieng vs Falcons - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 Svay Rieng Stadium, Svay Rieng
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Match Events

16'
Marlon Santos
17' Event
Peprah K.
Assist: Patrick
32' Event
Peprah K.
Assist: Patrick

AI Match Summary

The AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 game between Svay Rieng and Falcons finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Svay Rieng.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Svay Rieng
15%
Draws
48%
Falcons
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Falcons

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Falcons carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Svay Rieng taking it.
  • Regular AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Svay Rieng Clean Sheet 68%
Falcons Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Svay Rieng Falcons
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 16 19
Draws 7 5
Losses 7 2
Goals Scored 2.23 3.5
Goals Conceded 1.43 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2025 AFC Challenge League
Svay Rieng vs Falcons
3:0
Oct 30, 2024 AFC Challenge League
Svay Rieng vs Falcons
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Svay Rieng Compare

Top Goalscorer Peprah K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Odawara T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Falcons Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Svay Rieng 50 / 100
Falcons 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Svay Rieng Falcons

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Svay Rieng Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Svay Rieng found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Svay Rieng remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Falcons has conceded goals in 58% of their last 26 outings.

Scoring Trends

Svay Rieng VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Svay Rieng

(Home)
08 Oct
Johor DT
6 : 0
Svay Rieng
20 Sept
Dangkor Senchey
1 : 1
Svay Rieng
17 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 0
Svay Rieng
12 Sept
Svay Rieng
4 : 0
Tiffy Army
06 Sept
Kirivong Sok Sen Chey
0 : 3
Svay Rieng
Page 1 of 6

Falcons

(Away)
01 Nov
Falcons
3 : 1
Ezra
29 Oct
Falcons
0 : 2
Manila Digger
26 Oct
Svay Rieng
3 : 0
Falcons
12 Oct
Khovd
0 : 2
Falcons
07 Oct
Khoromkhon
0 : 7
Falcons
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Shabab 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Altyn Asyr 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
3 Abdysh-Ata Kant 3 0 1 2 4:6 1
4 Paro 3 0 1 2 4:7 1
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Kuwait 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
2 Al Ansar 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
3 Al Seeb 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Bashundara Kings 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Muras United 3 1 2 0 3:1 5
2 Al Arabi (Kuwait) 3 1 2 0 5:4 5
3 Safa 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
4 Regar-TadAZ 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Svay Rieng 3 2 1 0 8:2 7
2 Manila Digger 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
3 Falcons 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
4 Ezra 3 0 0 3 2:9 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dewa United 3 2 1 0 9:2 7
2 Phnom Penh Crown 3 2 1 0 7:4 7
3 Taiwan Steel 3 1 0 2 4:8 3
4 Shan United 3 0 0 3 3:9 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)