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Svelvik vs Holmen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Holmen in this Division 3 - Group 4 2016 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Holmen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Svelvik
15%
Draws
0%
Holmen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Svelvik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Holmen have won more games recently than Svelvik.
  • Model gives Svelvik a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Svelvik Clean Sheet 20%
Holmen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Svelvik Holmen
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 6 8
Draws 1 6
Losses 21 18
Goals Scored 1.21 1.16
Goals Conceded 3.21 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2016 Division 3 - Group 4
Svelvik vs Holmen
1:3
Apr 23, 2016 Division 3 - Group 4
Holmen vs Svelvik
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Svelvik 85 / 100
Holmen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Svelvik Holmen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Svelvik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Holmen has conceded goals in 84% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Holmen's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Svelvik's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Holmen
0 Goals Scored 0.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Svelvik

(Home)
22 Oct
Assiden
2 : 0
Svelvik
15 Oct
Svelvik
3 : 1
Drammen
08 Oct
Eik-Tonsberg
3 : 1
Svelvik
30 Sept
Halsen
5 : 0
Svelvik
27 Sept
Svelvik
3 : 4
Asker 2
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Holmen

(Away)
21 Oct
Holmen
0 : 6
Moss
14 Oct
Oppsal
5 : 0
Holmen
07 Oct
Holmen
0 : 3
Ullern
30 Sept
Vestfossen
3 : 1
Holmen
23 Sept
Holmen
1 : 3
Drobak-Frogn
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