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Svelvik vs Vestfossen

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vestfossen in this Division 3 - Group 4 2016 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vestfossen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Svelvik
15%
Draws
42%
Vestfossen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Svelvik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Svelvik haven't matched Vestfossen's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Vestfossen's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 4 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Svelvik Clean Sheet 20%
Vestfossen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Svelvik Vestfossen
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 6 9
Draws 1 3
Losses 21 20
Goals Scored 1.21 1.69
Goals Conceded 3.21 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2016 Division 3 - Group 4
Vestfossen vs Svelvik
4:0
May 29, 2016 Division 3 - Group 4
Svelvik vs Vestfossen
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Svelvik 20 / 100
Vestfossen 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Svelvik Vestfossen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vestfossen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vestfossen let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Vestfossen lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Svelvik scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vestfossen
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Svelvik

(Home)
22 Oct
Assiden
2 : 0
Svelvik
15 Oct
Svelvik
3 : 1
Drammen
08 Oct
Eik-Tonsberg
3 : 1
Svelvik
30 Sept
Halsen
5 : 0
Svelvik
27 Sept
Svelvik
3 : 4
Asker 2
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Vestfossen

(Away)
13 Aug
Vestfossen
1 : 5
Mjondalen
25 Jul
Vestfossen
1 : 3
Moss
26 Oct
Vestfossen
9 : 0
Valdres
19 Oct
Brann 2
5 : 1
Vestfossen
12 Oct
Vestfossen
2 : 4
Sogndal 2
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