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Svetkavitsa 2014 vs Dorostol

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-East 2025/2026 game between Svetkavitsa 2014 and Dorostol finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Svetkavitsa 2014.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Svetkavitsa 2014
20%
Draws
10%
Dorostol
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Svetkavitsa 2014

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Svetkavitsa 2014 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Svetkavitsa 2014 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Svetkavitsa 2014 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Svetkavitsa 2014 Clean Sheet 20%
Dorostol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Svetkavitsa 2014 Dorostol
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 4
Draws 6 4
Losses 14 21
Goals Scored 1.07 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.31 2.45
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Third League - North-East
Dorostol vs Svetkavitsa 2014
0:4
Apr 11, 2026 Third League - North-East
Svetkavitsa 2014 vs Dorostol
1:0
Oct 4, 2025 Third League - North-East
Dorostol vs Svetkavitsa 2014
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Svetkavitsa 2014 85 / 100
Dorostol 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Svetkavitsa 2014 Dorostol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Svetkavitsa 2014 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dorostol has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Svetkavitsa 2014 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Dorostol's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Svetkavitsa 2014 VS Dorostol
1.88 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Svetkavitsa 2014

(Home)
26 Sept
Chernomorets Balchik
1 : 0
Svetkavitsa 2014
19 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
0 : 1
Chernolomets
13 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
1 : 0
Ludogorets III
05 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
1 : 1
Septemvri Dragoevo
29 Aug
Ustrem Donchevo
2 : 3
Svetkavitsa 2014
Page 1 of 6

Dorostol

(Away)
19 Sept
Devnya 2005
2 : 2
Dorostol
06 Sept
Benkovski
5 : 1
Dorostol
29 Aug
Dorostol
0 : 3
Volov Shumen
26 Aug
FK Riltzi
1 : 0
Dorostol
22 Aug
Dorostol
0 : 4
Svetkavitsa 2014
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chernomorets Balchik 32 27 4 1 92:14 85
2 Ludogorets III 32 25 4 3 101:19 79
3 Septemvri Tervel 32 25 3 4 89:22 78
4 Volov Shumen 32 23 3 6 93:28 72
5 Chernolomets 32 20 3 9 78:43 63
6 Benkovski 32 18 6 8 68:40 60
7 Cherno More II 32 16 7 9 65:44 55
8 Ustrem Donchevo 32 17 3 12 73:67 54
9 Olympic Varna 32 10 6 16 58:80 36
10 Aksakovo 32 9 4 19 40:68 31
11 Fratria II 32 8 6 18 40:71 30
12 Svetkavitsa 2014 32 7 8 17 26:48 29
13 Botev Novi Pazar 32 8 5 19 34:69 29
14 Dorostol 32 8 4 20 29:67 28
15 Spartak Varna II 32 7 5 20 42:72 26
16 FK Riltzi 32 6 4 22 31:83 22
17 Svetkavitsa 32 0 1 31 5:129 1
Promotion - Vtora liga 2025/2026 (Main)